The Purdue Boilermakers (-4) are set to pay a visit to the Indiana Hoosiers at Memorial Stadium. This Big 10 game starts at 1:00 p.m. ET and fans can catch it live by tuning in to ESPN2.
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Indiana Hoosiers Betting Preview
Indiana is getting picked as the underdog and is currently getting 4 points in this Saturday Big 10 game. The Boilermakers are also receiving -185 moneyline odds while the Hoosiers are +165. Vegas has placed the over/under (O/U) at 62. With the Hoosiers currently getting 4 points, oddsmakers are speculating that this could be a 29-33 win for the Boilermakers. Should one school can create a bunch of points early on, it’ll likely produce a worthy betting scenario in-game.
The underwhelming Boilermakers are 5-5-1 against the spread (ATS) and have lost 9.6 units so far. The team’s posted an Over-Under record of 6-5. The Hoosiers are up 0.6 units for moneyline bettors this season. They’re 5-6 ATS and seven of their games have gone over the total.
The Boilermakers have gone 5-6 straight up (SU), including 4-4 SU against conference opponents. The Hoosiers are 5-6 SU overall and 2-6 SU in conference play.
These two squads faced off last year with the final outcome being a 31-24 win for Purdue.
The Boilermakers came up short to Wisconsin 47-44 in a nailbiter where their defense allowed the Badgers to run for 385 yards on 51 rush attempts, including four rush TDs. Jonathan Taylor was on a different level for the Badgers in that one with 321 rushing yards and three touchdowns on 33 attempts. On the offensive side, David Blough completed 31-of-48 passes for 386 yards and four touchdowns. D.J. Knox (39 rushing yards on 11 attempts) and Markell Jones (29 yards on 10 carries, one TD) mounted the ground attack while Rondale Moore (nine receptions, 114 yards, two TDs) and Isaac Zico (six catches, 72 yards, one TD) shared the receiving duties in the defeat.
On November 17, Michigan took care of this Indiana team by a score of 31-20. The Hoosiers defensive unit allowed the Wolverines to run for 257 yards on 50 rush attempts, along with one rushing TD. Karan Higdon had a good outing in the win for Michigan, accounting for 101 rushing yards and a score on 21 attempts. For Indiana, Peyton Ramsey completed 16-of-35 passes for 195 yards, one touchdown and one interception. Stevie Scott (139 yards on 30 rush attempts, one TD) and the signal-caller Ramsey (51 yards on seven carries) led the running game as Luke Timian (six receptions, 62 yards) and Nick Westbrook (four catches, 84 yards) led the pass-catching corps in the loss.
Purdue has run the ball on 43.7 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Indiana has an overall rush percentage of 48.1 percent. The Boilermakers have produced 142 rush yards/game (including 138 per game against Big Ten opponents) and have 17 touchdowns on the ground this year. The Hoosiers are putting up 159 rushing yards per game (130 in conference) and have 15 total rush TDs.
If 2018 numbers can translate to this game, then it appears the Boilermakers might have an edge when it comes to RB efficiency. Their backfield has generated 4.6 yards per carry while the defense is allowing a YPC of 4.4 to opponents. The Hoosiers have tallied 4.4 yards per carry and allowed 4.6 yards per rush attempt to opponents.
The Boilermakers offensive scheme has averaged 319 yards through the air overall (313 per game versus conference opposition) and has 25 passing TDs so far. The Hoosiers have produced 250 pass yards per contest (268.1 against Big 10 foes) and have 19 total pass scores.
Defensively, Purdue has let opponents rush for an average of 167 yards and throw for 275 yards per game. The Indiana D has given up 234.3 yards per game to opposing passers and 188.0 yards per game on the ground. The Boilermakers are giving up an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 6.36 to opponents, while the Hoosiers have allowed a 6.87 ANY/A.
Offensively, Blough is already up to 3,069 passing yards this season, and has completed 236-of-359 attempts with 21 passing scores and seven interceptions. He has an 8.16 adjusted net yards per pass attempt, including 6.95 over the last two outings.
As a group, Rondale Moore, D.J. Knox and Terry Wright have combined to account for 449 yards from scrimmage and four touchdowns over the last couple of outings.
For the home team, Peyton Ramsey has connected on 243-of-368 passes for 2,287 yards, 16 TDs and 11 INTs. Ramsey’s ANY/A stands at 5.10 for the season and 5.36 across his last two games.
As a group, Stevie Scott, Nick Westbrook and Luke Timian have combined for 481 yards from scrimmage and three touchdowns the last couple of games.
RELATED: Week 13 College Football Betting Odds and Predictions
NCAA Tip: Purdue Boilermakers vs. Indiana Hoosiers
SU Winner – Purdue, ATS Winner – Purdue, O/U – Over
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Notes
Team Betting Trends
The Purdue defense has 23 sacks on the year while Indiana has just 16.
Indiana has lost eight fumbles in 2018 while the Purdue offense has lost six.
The Boilermakers offense has registered 16 pass plays of 40 or more yards, while the Hoosiers have accounted for four such plays.
The Purdue defense has allowed seven pass plays of 40 or more yards, while Indiana has given up 10 such plays.
Both teams have produced 15 rushing plays of 20 or more yards. The Purdue offense has recorded 46 running plays of 10+ yards while Indiana has accounted for 55 such plays.
Both teams have allowed 13 rushing plays of 20 yards or more. The Boilermakers have given up 53 running plays of 10+ yards while the Hoosiers have given up 62 such plays.
The Over/Under for Indiana’s previous outing was set at 53. The under cashed in the 31-20 loss to Michigan.
In its last three games, Indiana is 2-1 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.
In its last three matches, Purdue is 0-2-1 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.
Purdue has lost four of its last five games SU, with a two-point victory over Iowa on November 3rd accounting for the only win over that span.
The O/U for Purdue’s previous game was set at 56.5. The over cashed in the team’s 47-44 loss to Wisconsin.
Purdue has produced 2.9 yards per carry over its last three games and 2.7 over its last two.
Indiana has averaged 4.7 yards per carry over its last three contests and 4.6 over its last two.
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