The Dayton Flyers (22-5) will bring the regular season to a close on their home court when they face off against the Rhode Island Rams (15-13) at University of Dayton Arena. Action gets underway at 12:00 pm ET on Saturday, Feb. 27 and will air on ES2 and ES3.
The Flyers edged Saint Louis 52-49 on Tuesday. Kyle Davis had a good outing, contributing 13 points, six rebounds, and two blocks for the Flyers. The Rams, meanwhile, are coming off a 65-54 loss at the hands of Davidson on Tuesday. Earl Watson recorded nine points and nine rebounds.
This will be the second matchup of the season between these two teams. The Flyers won the first game 68-66. Hassan Martin finished with 15 points and 10 rebounds.
The Flyers have gone 22-5 Straight Up (SU) and 13-14 Against The Spread (ATS). The Flyers have seen a decline in scoring as of late, averaging 67.2 points during the last 10 games compared to their season average of 73.2 points per game. Turning to the defensive side, teams routinely struggle to score points against the Flyers, who allow only 64.6 points per game. Dayton’s defense can be considered one of the best in the country. The Flyers allow a .401 opponent field-goal percentage, one of the lowest shooting rates in the country.
On the other side, the Rams have 15-13 SU and 10-16 ATS records. The Rams allow just 65.2 points per game, ranking them 30th in the nation. The Rams allow very few three-pointers on defense with 5.0 given up per game.
Dayton beat Rhode Island in their most recent meeting this season, but the win was not enough to overtake Rhode Island in their recent head-to-head series. Its record is now 4-6 SU over the last few meetings. Furthermore, Rhode Island leads the matchup ATS with a record of 7-3. When it comes to field goals, rebounds, and three-pointers, Rhode Island held the edge in all three of these categories once in the last five meetings. Dayton never did so in those games.
Predictions: SU Winner – URI, ATS Winner – URI
Notes
“Dayton is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games “.
“Dayton is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games “.
“The total has gone OVER in 5 of Dayton’s last 6 games “.
“Dayton is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home”.
“Dayton is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games at home”.
“Dayton is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Rhode Island”.
“Dayton is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Rhode Island”.
“The total has gone OVER in 6 of Dayton’s last 7 games when playing Rhode Island”.
“Dayton is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games when playing at home against Rhode Island”.
The Dayton Flyers hold a solid 12-3 SU record in matchups against Atlantic 10 Conference rivals, while the Rhode Island Rams currently sit at 7-8 in these games.
Rhode Island scores an average of just 69.8 points per game (ranked 196th). Dayton ranks 25th in points allowed, giving up 64.6 points per game.
Rhode Island scores just 66.2 points per away game (ranked 195th). Dayton ranks 74th in points allowed at home, giving up 65.1 points.
The Dayton Flyers have a defensive rating of 94.8 (ranked 18th), while the Rhode Island Rams have an offensive rating of 106.6 (ranked 152nd).
The Rhode Island Rams average a field goal percentage of 44.3% this season. The Dayton Flyers have a solid 5-2 record in games where opponents have a FG% of 44.3% or greater.
The Dayton Flyers and the Rhode Island Rams both rank higher in average field goal percentage when compared to their effective field goal percentages. Dayton is 76th and 69th in the nation for eFG% and FG% respectively, while Rhode Island ranks 174th and 168th in these categories.
Dayton ranks 84th in assists, registering 14.9 per game. Rhode Island performs worse at 278th with 11.9 assists per game.
Dayton, the 68th-ranked team in rebounding, register an average of 38.5 rebounds per game. Rhode Island does worse, ranked 256th with 34.8.
Rhode Island makes an average of 5.6 steals per game. Dayton has a dazzling 10-3 record when it allows at least 5 steals.