It will be a battle between A10 opponents when the Dayton Flyers (8-5) welcome the Richmond Spiders (6-7) to University of Dayton Arena. The game gets underway at 12 p.m. ET on Sunday, January 6, 2019.
Richmond Spiders at Dayton Flyers Free Prediction
The last time the Spiders played, they were topped by the Longwood Lancers, 63-58. Longwood’s 0.154 free throw rate was their biggest strength over Richmond, who had a rate of 0.100. Jacob Gilyard led Richmond in scoring with 15 points on 5-for-13 shooting.
The Flyers were victorious over the North Florida Ospreys in their last matchup, 78-70. The Flyers had a much better free throw rate (0.350 vs. 0.211) and had a better turnover percentage (7.7 vs. 12.5). Obi Toppin was Dayton’s high scorer with 18 points on 8-for-13 shooting from the field.
After the Flyers won the lone game against the Spiders last season, 87-81, these teams will clash for the first time this year. Dayton had a much better effective field goal percentage (0.702 vs. 0.508). Richmond, on the other hand, had a much better turnover percentage (6.5 vs. 20.4).
Grant Golden and Nick Sherod have played well over the last five games for Richmond. Golden has averaged 0 points per game. Not to be outdone, Sherod has recorded 0 points a game during that span.
Half-court execution will be at a premium when two of the nation’s slowest-paced teams square off. Dayton ranks 273rd in possessions per game (68.0) and Richmond is 302nd (67.3). The Spiders should have an edge in terms of ball security. They rank 29th at avoiding errors (turnover percentage of 16.0 percent). Conversely, the Flyers force the 73rd-fewest turnovers in the NCAA (opponents’ turnover percentage of 17.6 percent).
Richmond at Dayton Betting Pick
Prediction: SU Winner – Dayton, ATS Winner – Richmond, O/U – Under
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Notes
Betting Notes:
Richmond ranks 42nd in steals per game (8.0) while Dayton ranks 186th (4.8).
The Spiders rank 125th in three pointers attempted per game (23.1) while the Flyers rank 232nd (19.2).
Richmond averages 15.6 assists per game, which ranks 56th in the NCAA. Dayton ranks 147th in assists allowed per game (13.6).
The Flyers rank 180th in rebounds per game (34.8) while the Spiders rank 255th (30.3).
Dayton is 17th in the nation with 2.2 blocks allowed per game while Richmond is 28th with 2.5 blocks allowed per game.
Bettings Trends:
The Spiders’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 1.4, down from 2.5 for the season.
During their last five games, the Flyers have scored an average of 74.6 points per game (0.9 below their season average) and allowed an average of 65.2 points per game (4.0 below their season average).
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