The Oregon Ducks (22-12) square off against the Rider Broncs (22-9) in the NIT at Matthew Knight Arena. The game will air on ESPN 3 at 10 p.m. ET on Tuesday, March 13, 2018.
Oregon is an 11-point favorite on the opening line, while the game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 161 points.
Rider Broncs at Oregon Ducks ATS Prediction
In the Broncs’ last contest, they were defeated by the Saint Peter’s Peacocks, 66-55. Saint Peter’s’ effective field goal percentage was their largest advantage over Rider. The Peacocks had a rate of 0.500 (above their season average of 0.491), while the Broncs posted a mark of 0.337 (below their season average of 0.532). Tyere Marshall was the top scorer from either team with 13 points on 3-for-7 shooting.
The Ducks lost big to the USC Trojans in their last contest, 74-54. Converting at the free throw line was one of USC’s largest advantages. They were 12-14 (85.7 percent), while the Ducks were just 6-10 (60.0 percent). MiKyle McIntosh had a solid game for Oregon, leading the team in scoring with 21 points on 9-for-17 shooting.
Oregon figures to have the advantage on the offensive side of the ball. The Ducks currently rank 69th in offensive efficiency, while the Broncs rank 208th in defensive efficiency.
Rider heads into the game with records of 22-9 straight up (SU) and 16-10-1 against the spread (ATS). Vegas has a tendency to set the total low when the Broncs are involved, as 19 of their 27 games have ended over the projected point total.
Meanwhile, Oregon is 22-12 SU and 16-16-1 ATS. Unlike Rider, Ducks games tend to finish under the total (59.4 percent).
Rider Broncs vs. Oregon Ducks Odds Pick
Free Prediction: SU Winner – Oregon, ATS Winner – Rider, O/U – Under
Notes
Betting Notes:
Oregon ranks 42nd in three pointers attempted per game (25.6) while Rider ranks 295th in three pointers allowed per game (25.6).
The Ducks rank 44th in rebounds allowed per game (32.4) while the Broncs rank 228th (36.5).
Oregon averages 4.3 blocks per game, which ranks 46th in the NCAA. Rider ranks 214th in blocks allowed per game (4.6).
The Ducks average 15.2 assists per game, which ranks 68th in the NCAA. The Broncs rank 234th in assists allowed per game (14.8).
Oregon ranks 40th in steals allowed per game (5.3) while Rider ranks 122nd (6.1).
Bettings Trends:
The Broncs’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 2.2, down from 4.1 for the season.
During their last five games, the Ducks have scored an average of 66.8 points per game (10.4 below their season average) and allowed an average of 68.8 points per game (2.3 below their season average).
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