The Mount St. Mary’s Mountaineers (18-13, 12-6 NEC) and Robert Morris Colonials (15-16, 9-9 NEC) bring the regular season to a close when they square off at Knott Arena. The game is scheduled to begin at 7 p.m. ET on Wednesday, February 28, 2018.
The Over/Under (O/U) for the game has been set at 135.5 points with Mount St. Mary’s opening as a 6.5-point favorite.
Robert Morris Colonials at Mount St. Mary’s Mountaineers Betting Prediction
The Colonials are hoping for a better outcome after their 80-60 loss to the Saint Francis U Red Flash in their last outing. Saint Francis U’s turnover percentage was their largest advantage over Robert Morris. The Red Flash had a rate of 10.8 (better than their season average of 14.6), while the Colonials posted a mark of 20.6 (above the 16.5 mark opponents have averaged against Saint Francis U this season). Dachon Burke led Robert Morris in scoring with 14 points on 5-for-15 shooting.
The last time the Mountaineers played, they beat the Wagner Seahawks, 73-62. The Mountaineers had an extraordinary free throw rate of 0.400 (above their season average of 0.215) and had a turnover percentage of 10.4 (better than their season average of 15.2). With 11 points, nine rebounds and six blocks, Mount St. Mary’s’ Chris Wray had a solid game.
Ball security could play an integral role in this meeting. Mount St. Mary’s commits the 43rd-fewest miscues in the nation (turnover percentage of 16.5 percent), while the pesky defense of Robert Morris forces the 17th-most (opponents’ turnover percentage of 23.0 percent).
Robert Morris holds records of 15-16 straight up (SU) and 1-1 against the spread (ATS). Of the Colonials’ 2 games that accepted bets, two have finished under the projected point total.
Meanwhile, Mount St. Mary’s is 18-13 SU and 2-0 ATS. Vegas has been spot on when predicting totals of Mountaineers games, with an even split between overs and unders.
Wray has averaged 11.8 points, 7.4 rebounds, 5.0 assists, 2.2 steals and 2.0 blocks over the last five games for Mount St. Mary’s.
The Mountaineers have emerged victorious in both contests against the Colonials this year, including a 19-point blowout in their last matchup. Mount St. Mary’s covered as a 5-point favorite and the game finished with a total of 125 points, which was 14 points below the projected point total of 139 points. The Mountaineers knocked down nine of their 12 free throws (75.0 percent) and had a much better turnover percentage (12.1 vs. 25.8). Despite the loss, Burke was a top performer in the game with 16 points and six assists.
Robert Morris Colonials vs. Mount St. Mary’s Mountaineers Betting Pick
College Basketball Pick: SU Winner – Mount St. Mary’s, ATS Winner – Mount St. Mary’s, O/U – Under
Notes
Betting Notes:
Robert Morris is 1-1 ATS on the road with 2 unders and 0 overs.
At home, Mount St. Mary’s is 2-0 ATS with 1 over and 1 under.
Robert Morris ranks 121st in rebounds per game (36.1) while Mount St. Mary’s ranks 289th (28.8).
The Mountaineers rank 13th in blocks allowed per game (2.3) while the Colonials rank 159th (3.9).
Mount St. Mary’s ranks 116th in assists per game (14.2) while Robert Morris ranks 252nd (11.5).
The Mountaineers rank 24th in three pointers attempted per game (26.9) while the Colonials rank 158th (21.8).
Mount St. Mary’s averages 6.9 steals per game, which ranks 70th in the NCAA. Robert Morris ranks 157th in steals allowed per game (6.6).
Bettings Trends:
In their last five games, Robert Morris is 0-1 ATS with 1 under.
Mount St. Mary’s is 1-0 ATS with 1 under over their last five games.
The Colonials’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 1.8, up from 1.8 for the season.
During their last five games, the Mountaineers have scored an average of 75.0 points per game (1.6 above their season average) and allowed an average of 68.6 points per game (3.7 below their season average).
