The Golden State Warriors (52-16) will attempt to lengthen their eight-game home winning streak in a matchup against the Sacramento Kings (22-47) at ORACLE Arena. The game can be seen on NBC Sports – California at 10:30 p.m. ET on Friday, March 16, 2018.
The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 214 points with Golden State opening as a 12-point favorite.
Sacramento Kings vs. Golden State Warriors ATS Prediction
The Kings will be looking for similar success after defeating the Miami Heat in their last outing, 123-119. The Kings had a turnover percentage of 9.5 (better than their season average of 12.5) and had an effective field goal percentage of 0.553 (above their season average of 0.504). With 24 points on 9-for-16 shooting, Buddy Hield led Sacramento in scoring.
In the Warriors’ last matchup, they were victorious over the Los Angeles Lakers, 117-106. The Warriors had a solid offensive rebounding percentage of 28.9 (above their season average of 21.3) and had a free throw rate of 0.287 (above their season average of 0.203). Kevin Durant was the top scorer from either team with 26 points on 10-for-19 shooting.
The prolific offense of Golden State will clash against the porous defense of Sacramento. The Warriors currently rank first in offensive efficiency, while the Kings are 29th in defensive efficiency. The Warriors figure to have the advantage on that side of the ball.
Sacramento comes into the contest with records of 22-47 straight up (SU) and 32-34-3 against the spread (ATS). Of the Kings’ 69 games, 37 have finished over the total.
Golden State has an outstanding 52-16 SU record, but they are just 28-37-3 ATS. There does not appear to be a trend for games featuring the Warriors in regards to the total, as there has been an even split between games finishing over and under.
The two teams have split their two matchups this season. The Warriors won the most recent matchup 119-104, covering as 14-point favorites. The game finished with a total of 223 points, which was just 1 points below the projected point total of 224 points. The Warriors had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (20.6 vs. 12.0) and had a better free throw rate (0.175 vs. 0.105). Durant was the game’s top overall scorer with 33 points.
Sacramento Kings vs. Golden State Warriors Free Pick
Prediction: SU Winner – Warriors, ATS Winner – Kings, O/U – Under
Notes
Betting Notes:
Sacramento is 16-16-3 ATS on the road with 18 overs, 16 unders and 1 push.
Golden State is 14-18-2 ATS at home with 18 unders and 16 overs.
Golden State is 13-2 when they hold opponents below 100 points, while Sacramento is 13-5.
The Kings are 16-20 when they reach the century mark, while the Warriors are 49-12.
Golden State ranks first in assists per game (30.1) while Sacramento ranks 26th (21.4).
The Warriors rank first in blocks per game (7.8) while the Kings rank 25th (4.1).
Sacramento ranks eighth in steals per game (8.1) while Golden State ranks 29th in steals allowed per game (8.8).
The Warriors rank first in fast break points per game (20.4) while the Kings rank 21st (10.1).
Sacramento ranks sixth in points allowed in the paint per game (42.4) while Golden State ranks 25th (47.2).
The Warriors average 29.6 three pointers per game, which ranks 12th in the league. The Kings rank last in three pointers allowed per game (32.0).
Sacramento ranks 11th in points off turnovers allowed per game (15.6) while Golden State ranks 29th (18.9).
The Kings rank 11th in second chance points allowed per game (11.9) while the Warriors rank 29th (13.9).
Golden State ranks 13th in rebounds per game (44.0) while Sacramento ranks 26th (40.7).
Bettings Trends:
In their last five games, Sacramento is 3-2 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs.
Golden State is 1-4 ATS with 4 unders and 1 over over their last five games.
The Kings’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 6.8, down from 7.7 for the season.
During their last five games, the Warriors have scored an average of 110.4 points per game (5.3 below their season average) and allowed an average of 109.6 points per game (1.9 above their season average).
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