The Houston Rockets (7-7) clash against the Sacramento Kings (8-7) at the Toyota Center. The game starts at 8 p.m. ET on Saturday, November 17, 2018, and will air on ATTSN Southwest.
The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 219.5 points with Houston opening as a 12-point favorite.
Sacramento Kings vs. Houston Rockets Free Prediction
In the Kings’ last matchup, they were 2.5-point favorites and were defeated by the Memphis Grizzlies, 112-104. The game’s combined points (216) were under the projected point total of 220. Memphis’ turnover percentage was their biggest advantage over Sacramento. The Grizzlies had a rate of 12.0 (better than their season average of 12.0), while the Kings posted a mark of 18.8 (above their season average of 12.3). De’Aaron Fox led Sacramento in scoring with 23 points on 8-for-17 shooting.
The Rockets won big over the Golden State Warriors in their last game, 107-86, comfortably covering as 4.5-point favorites. The combined points for the game (193) were well under the O/U total of 217. The Rockets had an extraordinarily low turnover percentage of 4.8 (better than their season average of 12.2) and held the Warriors to an effective field goal percentage of 0.447 (below their season average of 0.580). James Harden was the top scorer from either team with 27 points on 8-for-23 shooting from the field.
It will be a battle of opposite paces as the up-tempo Kings will look to push the more half-court-oriented Rockets. The Kings rank fifth in possessions per game while the Rockets are 30th.
Sacramento comes into the contest with records of 8-7 straight up (SU) and 9-5 against the spread (ATS). Games involving the Kings have no tendency in regards to the total, as there has been an even split between games finishing over and under.
Meanwhile, Houston is 7-7 SU and 6-8 ATS. Vegas is known to place the total high when the Rockets are involved, as eight of their 14 games have ended under the total.
After the Rockets won two out of three games against the Kings last season, these teams will meet for the first time this year. In the last matchup, Sacramento won 96-83. The Kings had a better free throw rate (0.163 vs. 0.098) and had a better turnover percentage (11.0 vs. 13.8).
Kings at Rockets Betting Pick
Pick: SU Winner – Rockets, ATS Winner – Kings, O/U – Under
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Notes
Betting Notes:
Sacramento ranks sixth in points in the paint per game (53.3) while Houston ranks 27th (40.7).
Houston averages 8.4 steals per game, which ranks 10th in the NBA. Sacramento ranks 21st in steals allowed per game (8.4).
The Rockets average 5.9 blocks per game, which ranks eighth in the NBA. The Kings rank 16th in blocks allowed per game (5.3).
Sacramento is 4-3 ATS on the road, while Houston is 2-4 ATS at home.
Bettings Trends:
In its last five contests, Sacramento is 2-3 ATS with 4 unders and 1 over.
Houston is 3-2 ATS with 4 unders and 1 over over its last five games.
The Kings’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 3.2, up from 1.5 for the season.
During their last five games, the Rockets have scored an average of 100.0 points per game (3.4 below their season average) and allowed an average of 96.4 points per game (8.8 below their season average).
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