The Sacramento Kings (25-54) head to Memphis to take on the Grizzlies (21-57) in what should be a low-scoring game. The game starts at 8 p.m. ET on Friday, April 6, 2018, and will air on NBC Sports – California.
Sacramento Kings vs. Memphis Grizzlies Betting Prediction
The Kings are trying to rebound after their 97-94 loss to the Phoenix Suns in their last matchup. Getting to the charity stripe was one of Phoenix’s largest advantages. They made 33 trips to the line, while Sacramento went 23 times. Sacramento’s Justin Jackson played well, putting up 19 points and eight rebounds.
In the Grizzlies’ last game, they lost big to the New Orleans Pelicans, 123-95. One of New Orleans’ largest strengths was their ability to convert at the free throw line. They were 17-19 (89.5 percent), while the Grizzlies were 11-15 (73.3 percent). Memphis’ MarShon Brooks had a good game, leading the team in scoring with 25 points on 9-for-17 shooting.
Half-court execution will be critical when two of the league’s slowest-paced teams square off. Memphis currently ranks 30th in possessions per game (96.8) and Sacramento is 27th (97.4).
Sacramento comes into the game with records of 25-54 straight up (SU) and 37-39-3 against the spread (ATS). Vegas has typically been fairly accurate when setting the total of Kings games, with 39 overs compared to 39 unders.
Meanwhile, Memphis is 21-57 SU and 32-43-3 ATS. Vegas has typically been fairly accurate when setting the total of Grizzlies games, with 41 unders compared to 36 overs.
The Grizzlies have emerged victorious in both games against the Kings this year, including a decisive 106-88 victory in their last matchup. Memphis covered as a 7-point favorite and the game finished with a total of 194 points, which was 8 points below the projected point total of 202 points. The Grizzlies had a much better turnover percentage (11.7 vs. 19.3) and had a better free throw rate (0.205 vs. 0.163). Ben McLemore was a top performer in the victory, with 21 points.
Sacramento Kings vs. Memphis Grizzlies Free Pick
Free NBA Tip: SU Winner – Kings, ATS Winner – Kings, O/U – Under
Notes
Betting Notes:
Sacramento is 19-17-3 ATS on the road with 19 overs, 19 unders and 1 push.
At home, Memphis is 16-22-1 ATS with 25 unders and 14 overs.
In games where they allow less than 100 points, Sacramento is 16-6 and Memphis is 13-11.
The Kings are 17-21 when they reach the century mark, while the Grizzlies are 16-22.
Memphis ranks 10th in three pointers allowed per game (28.7) while Sacramento ranks 26th (31.5).
The Kings rank ninth in steals per game (7.9) while the Grizzlies rank 20th in steals allowed per game (8.0).
Sacramento ranks 18th in fast break points allowed per game (12.3) while Memphis ranks 25th (13.9).
The Grizzlies rank fifth in points allowed in the paint per game (41.9) while the Kings rank sixth (42.3).
Memphis ranks 11th in points off turnovers per game (16.8) while Sacramento ranks 12th in points off turnovers allowed per game (15.7).
Neither of these teams are great at rebounding the ball. The Kings are 28th in the NBA with 40.8 rebounds per game while the Grizzlies are 29th with 40.6 rebounds per game.
Sacramento is 25th in the league with 21.6 assists per game while Memphis is 26th with 21.4 assists per game.
Bettings Trends:
In their last five games, Sacramento is 2-3 ATS with 4 unders and 1 over.
Memphis is 3-2 ATS with 4 overs and 1 under over their last five games.
The Kings’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 5.4, down from 7.3 for the season.
During their last five games, the Grizzlies have scored an average of 99.8 points per game (1.0 above their season average) and allowed an average of 107.8 points per game (2.8 above their season average).
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