The Miami Heat (6-4) take on the visiting Sacramento Kings (4-8) at AmericanAirlines Arena. The game starts at 7:30 pm ET on Thursday, Nov. 19 and will air on SUN and CSA.
The Heat lost to the Timberwolves 103-91 on Tuesday. Hassan Whiteside had a great game, recording his first triple-double with 22 points, 14 rebounds, and 10 blocks. The Kings, meanwhile, are coming off a 103-97 loss at the hands of the Hawks on Wednesday. DeMarcus Cousins scored 24 points and recorded 12 rebounds earning his sixth double-double of the season.
The Heat are a heavy eight-point favorite in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is 199 points. The Heat enter the game with records of 6-4 Straight Up (SU) and 5-5 Against The Spread (ATS). They have gone 4-1 SU and 3-2 ATS against teams from the Western Conference. The Heat have limited opponents’ efforts from beyond the arc, allowing an NBA-low 60 three-pointers made or 6.0 per game. The Heat are the top team in the league at blocking shots, averaging 7.8 blocks per game.
Across the court, the Kings head into the game with records of 5-6 ATS and 4-7 SU. Sacramento makes opponents pay for turning the ball over, ranking fourth in points off turnovers with an average of 20.8 per game.
The Heat and the Kings will be facing off in their first head-to-head clash of the season. When they last met the Heat were winners, bringing their SU record to 9-1 over the Kings in the last 10 games. The Heat also hold the advantage ATS with a record of 7-3.
Predictions: SU Winner – Mia, ATS Winner – Mia, O/U – Under
Notes
Miami is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami’s last 5 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami’s last 5 games at home.
Miami is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games at home.
Miami is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games when playing Sacramento.
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Miami’s last 8 games when playing Sacramento.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami’s last 5 games when playing at home against Sacramento.
Miami is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Sacramento.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Sacramento’s last 5 games when playing on the road against Miami.
Sacramento is 2-11 ATS in its last 13 games when playing on the road against Miami.
Sacramento averages 103.2 points per game (ranked sixth). However, Miami has allowed an average of just 91.5 points per game (ranked second).
Sacramento averages 101.0 points per away game (ranked 12th). However, Miami has allowed an average of just 91.3 points per home game (ranked second).
Sacramento is undefeated when limiting opponents to fewer than 100 points (1-0). Miami has a 3-4 record when it scores less than 100.
When Sacramento allows at least 100 points, the team has a poor 3-8 record. In games where it reaches the century mark, Miami has a perfect 3-0 record.
The Kings have an offensive rating of 101.0 (ranked 17th), while the Heat rank second for their defensive rating of 94.5.
Miami has an average field goal percentage of 45.8% (ranked sixth). Sacramento is an underachieving 2-6 when opponents have a similar or higher field goal percentage.
On average, Miami attempts 20.0 three pointers and Sacramento attempts 21.0 per game. In games where the teams have 25 or more three point attempts, the Heat are winless at 0-1 while the Kings have a 2-1 record.
The Miami Heat rank 21st with an assist to turnover ratio of 1.36. The Sacramento Kings have a higher A/TO (1.42), ranking 19th.
The Heat rank 12th in rebounds per game with 45.1, while the Kings rank 11th with 45.2 per game.
The Sacramento Kings are among the best offensive rebounding teams in the league (ranked fifth). The Miami Heat are in the top half of NBA teams in defensive rebounding (ranked sixth).
Sacramento is one of the top teams in forced turnovers, with opponents averaging a TOV% of 16.1% (ranked eighth). Miami has a losing record of 1-2 SU this season when its TOV% reaches 16.1% or greater.
