The Sacramento Kings (6-3) travel to Milwaukee to take on the Bucks (7-1) in what should be a low-scoring game. The game can be seen on Fox Sports Net Wisconsin at 3:30 p.m. ET on Sunday, November 4, 2018.
Milwaukee is a 10-point favorite on the opening line, while the game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 234 points.
Sacramento Kings vs. Milwaukee Bucks Free Prediction
In the Kings’ last matchup, they easily covered the 2-point spread against the Atlanta Hawks, 146-115. The game’s total points (261) came in well over the O/U total of 233. The Kings forced 22 turnovers and had an effective field goal percentage of 0.612 (above their season average of 0.553). De’Aaron Fox played an enormous role in the victory for Sacramento, collecting 31 points, 15 assists and 10 rebounds on his way to his zeroth triple-double this season.
The Bucks were beaten by the Boston Celtics in their last game, 117-113. They were unable to cover as 2-point underdogs. The game’s total points (230) finished over the projected point total of 220.5. Boston’s 10.9 turnover percentage was the team’s largest strength over Milwaukee, who had a rate of 12.5. The Celtics’ mark was better than their season average of 11.8. With 33 points on 13-for-22 shooting, Giannis Antetokounmpo was the game’s high scorer.
The Bucks won both games against the Kings last season. In the last contest, Milwaukee won 109-104. The Bucks knocked down 35 of their 42 free throws (83.3 percent) and had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (25.0 vs. 18.2).
Sacramento heads into the game with records of 6-3 straight up (SU) and 7-2 against the spread (ATS). Of the Kings’ nine games, six have gone over the O/U total.
Meanwhile, Milwaukee is 7-1 SU and 5-3 ATS. Games including the Bucks also have a tendency to finish over the total (75.0 percent).
Half-court execution will be critical when a pair of the league’s slowest-paced teams square off. Milwaukee ranks 27th in possessions per game (98.5) and Sacramento is 28th (98.2) since the 2017-18 season.
Sacramento Kings vs. Milwaukee Bucks Betting Pick
NBA Pick: SU Winner – Bucks, ATS Winner – Bucks, O/U – Under
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Notes
Betting Notes (2017-Present):
Sacramento is 20-7 when they hold opponents below 100 points, while Milwaukee is 21-6.
In games where they reach the century mark, the Kings are 22-24 and the Bucks are 47-23.
Milwaukee ranks seventh in blocks per game (5.6) while Sacramento ranks 25th (4.2).
The Bucks rank eighth in three pointers allowed per game (28.2) while the Kings rank 26th (31.9).
Sacramento ranks fourth in points allowed in the paint per game (43.5) while Milwaukee ranks 17th (46.5).
The Bucks rank seventh in steals per game (8.4) while the Kings rank 19th in steals allowed per game (7.8).
Milwaukee ranks third in fast break points allowed per game (10.0) while Sacramento ranks 15th (12.7).
The Bucks rank 14th in assists per game (23.4) while the Kings rank 18th in assists allowed per game (23.8).
Milwaukee averages 17.8 points off turnovers per game, which ranks eighth in the league. Sacramento ranks 11th in points off turnovers allowed per game (15.7).
The Kings are 26th in the NBA with 11.5 second chance points per game while the Bucks are 29th with 10.4 second chance points per game.
Neither of these teams are great at rebounding the ball. Sacramento is 27th in the NBA with 41.4 rebounds per game while Milwaukee is 29th with 40.9 rebounds per game.
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