The New Orleans Pelicans (27-22) take on the Sacramento Kings (15-34) at Smoothie King Center. The game will air on NBC Sports – California at 8 p.m. ET on Tuesday, January 30, 2018.
Sacramento Kings at New Orleans Pelicans ATS Prediction
In the Kings’ last matchup, they were topped by the San Antonio Spurs, 113-98. San Antonio won the rebounding battle. The Spurs had 13 offensive rebounds and 52 total rebounds, while the Kings had six and 34, respectively. De’Aaron Fox was the game’s high scorer with 26 points on 8-for-15 shooting.
The Pelicans were beaten by the Los Angeles Clippers in their last contest, 112-103. Los Angeles’ 21.6 offensive rebounding percentage was their largest advantage over New Orleans, who had a rate of 15.2. The Clippers’ mark was below their season average of 23.1, while the Pelicans’ was below the 24.7 mark opponents have averaged against Los Angeles this season. Anthony Davis had a good performance for New Orleans, leading the team in scoring with 25 points on 8-for-17 shooting.
It will be a matchup of conflicting tempos as the fast-breaking Pelicans (ranked second in the league in possessions per game) will look to push the more grind-it-out Kings (26th in possessions per game).
Sacramento comes into the game with records of 15-34 straight up (SU) and 20-26-3 against the spread (ATS). Just over half of the Kings’ games have finished over the total.
Meanwhile, New Orleans owns records of 27-22 SU and 26-23 ATS. Vegas has a tendency to place the total low when the Pelicans are involved, as 59.2 percent of their games have gone over the total.
The two teams have split their two matchups this season. The Kings won the most recent matchup 116-109, covering as 10-point underdogs. The game finished with a total of 225 points, which was 17 points above the projected point total of 208 points. The Kings had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (28.2 vs. 16.7) and had a better effective field goal percentage (0.552 vs. 0.517). Zach Randolph put up a double-double in the victory with 35 points and 13 rebounds.
Sacramento Kings at New Orleans Pelicans Pick
Free Prediction: SU Winner – Kings, ATS Winner – Kings, O/U – Over
Notes
Betting Notes:
Sacramento is 11-14-3 ATS on the road with 14 unders, 13 overs and 1 push.
At home, New Orleans is 11-13 ATS with 17 overs and 7 unders.
New Orleans is 8-1 when they allow under 100 points, while Sacramento is 10-4.
The Pelicans are 25-15 when they score above 100 points, while the Kings are 10-11.
New Orleans ranks second in assists per game (26.4) while Sacramento ranks 27th (20.9).
The Kings average 8.2 steals per game, which ranks eighth in the league. The Pelicans rank 26th in steals allowed per game (8.5).
New Orleans ranks second in points in the paint per game (50.0) while Sacramento ranks 19th (42.8).
The Pelicans rank 12th in three pointers attempted per game (29.5) while the Kings rank 28th in three pointers allowed per game (31.3).
New Orleans ranks 16th in rebounds per game (43.2) while Sacramento ranks 29th (40.1).
The Pelicans average 12.7 fast break points per game, which ranks 10th in the league. The Kings rank 21st in fast break points allowed per game (12.2).
New Orleans ranks fifth in blocks allowed per game (4.2) while Sacramento ranks 10th (4.6).
The Kings rank 23rd in points off turnovers per game (15.4) while the Pelicans rank 24th in points off turnovers allowed per game (17.9).
Betting Trends:
In their last five games, Sacramento is 3-2 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs.
New Orleans is 2-3 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders over their last five games.
The Kings’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 6.2, down from 8.7 for the season.
During their last five games, the Pelicans have scored an average of 112.4 points per game (1.5 above their season average) and allowed an average of 110.6 points per game (0.1 below their season average).
