The Oklahoma City Thunder (23-20) meet the Sacramento Kings (13-29) at Chesapeake Energy Arena. The game starts at 8 p.m. ET on Monday, January 15, 2018, and will air on NBC Sports – California.
The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 209.5 points with Oklahoma City opening as an 11.5-point favorite.
Sacramento Kings at Oklahoma City Thunder ATS Prediction
The Kings are trying to rebound after their 126-105 loss to the Los Angeles Clippers in their last contest. Los Angeles made good use of their 26 trips to the free throw line, converting on 22 of them (84.6 percent). Sacramento, on the other hand, was just 13-22 (59.1 percent). Willie Cauley-Stein led Sacramento in scoring with 23 points on 10-for-16 shooting.
In the Thunder’s last matchup, they defeated the Charlotte Hornets, 101-91. Oklahoma City’s 7.8 turnover percentage was their biggest advantage over Charlotte, who had a rate of 13.1. The Thunder’s mark was better than their season average of 12.6. Russell Westbrook was the top scorer from either team with 25 points on 10-for-27 shooting.
The offensive glass could be a major edge for Oklahoma City in this matchup. The Thunder currently rank first in offensive rebounding percentage (27.1 percent), while Sacramento ranks 20th in defensive rebounding percentage (76.6 percent).
Sacramento heads into the contest with records of 13-29 straight up (SU) and 16-23-3 against the spread (ATS). Games involving the Kings have gone over the projected point total 52.4 percent of the time.
Meanwhile, Oklahoma City owns records of 23-20 SU and 16-26-1 ATS. Vegas has a tendency to set the total high when the Thunder are involved, as 58.1 percent of their games have finished under the total.
Bogdan Bogdanovic has averaged 15.8 points and 4.2 assists over the last five games for Sacramento.
This is the second game of the season between these two teams. In the first, Buddy Hield scored a game-high 21 points and the Kings, who were 10.5-point underdogs, defeated the Thunder 94-86. He also put up seven rebounds. The game finished with a total of 180 points, which was 22.5 points below the projected point total of 202.5 points. Sacramento had a much better effective field goal percentage (0.525 vs. 0.395). Oklahoma City, on the other hand, had a much better turnover percentage (12.7 vs. 21.4).
Sacramento Kings vs. Oklahoma City Thunder Betting Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Thunder, ATS Winner – Kings, O/U – Under
Notes
Betting Notes:
Sacramento is 7-12-3 ATS on the road with 11 overs, 10 unders and 1 push.
At home, Oklahoma City is 8-12-1 ATS with 12 unders and 9 overs.
Oklahoma City is 15-5 when they allow under 100 points, while Sacramento is 8-3.
The Thunder are 20-9 when they score more than 100 points, while the Kings are 9-9.
Oklahoma City ranks fourth in fast break points per game (14.1) while Sacramento ranks 25th (9.4).
The Thunder rank first in steals per game (9.4) while the Kings rank 19th in steals allowed per game (8.0).
Oklahoma City ranks seventh in points off turnovers per game (18.1) while Sacramento ranks 25th (15.1).
The Thunder rank second in second chance points per game (14.4) while the Kings rank 19th (11.5).
Oklahoma City ranks ninth in assists allowed per game (21.8) while Sacramento ranks 25th (24.3).
The Thunder rank fourth in rebounds allowed per game (41.6) while the Kings rank 18th (43.5).
Oklahoma City ranks 17th in three pointers attempted per game (28.8) while Sacramento ranks 29th (22.4).
The Thunder rank fifth in points allowed in the paint per game (41.5) while the Kings rank 12th (43.0).
Oklahoma City ranks ninth in blocks per game (5.1) while Sacramento ranks 10th in blocks allowed per game (4.6).
Bettings Trends:
In their last five games, Sacramento is 1-4 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders.
Oklahoma City is 2-3 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs over their last five games.
The Kings’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 7.8, down from 8.9 for the season.
During their last five games, the Thunder have scored an average of 104.4 points per game (0.1 above their season average) and allowed an average of 108.6 points per game (7.3 above their season average).
