The Phoenix Suns (19-59) look to snap their 15-game losing streak when they meet the Sacramento Kings (25-53) at Talking Stick Resort Arena. The game starts at 10 p.m. ET on Tuesday, April 3, 2018, and will air on NBC Sports – California.
Sacramento Kings at Phoenix Suns Free Prediction
In the Kings’ last matchup, they topped the Los Angeles Lakers, 84-83. Sacramento’s turnover percentage was their largest advantage over Los Angeles. The Kings had a rate of 9.2 (better than their season average of 12.5), while the Lakers posted a mark of 14.0. With 19 points on 8-for-15 shooting, Buddy Hield led Sacramento in scoring.
The Suns fell to the Golden State Warriors in their last matchup, 117-107. Golden State’s 0.612 effective field goal percentage was their biggest advantage over Phoenix, who had a rate of 0.517. The Warriors’ mark was above their season average of 0.571. With 22 points and five assists, Josh Jackson had a good performance for Phoenix.
This contest should be a showdown of opposite paces. Phoenix has preferred to play fast (third in possessions per game), while Sacramento has been more half-court-oriented (27th in possessions per game).
Sacramento comes into the game with records of 25-53 straight up (SU) and 37-38-3 against the spread (ATS). Vegas has typically been fairly accurate when setting the O/U total of Kings games, with 39 overs compared to 38 unders.
Meanwhile, Phoenix owns records of 19-59 SU and 35-41-2 ATS. Unlike Sacramento, games featuring the Suns have finished under the O/U total 51.3 percent of the time.
Both teams have had a player step their game up over their last five games. Hield (18.0 points and 1.6 steals) has been great for the Kings while Jackson (20.6 points, 3.4 assists and 2.2 steals) has contributed greatly to the Suns.
The Suns lead the season series against the Kings two games to one, including a 111-101 victory the last time these teams met. Phoenix covered as a 3-point underdog and the game finished with a total of 212 points, which was just 1.5 points above the projected point total of 210.5 points. Phoenix had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (35.6 vs. 20.5). Sacramento, on the other hand, did an excellent job of converting from the charity stripe (19-23; 82.6 percent). T.J. Warren recorded a double-double with 26 points and 10 rebounds.
Sacramento Kings at Phoenix Suns Free Pick
Pick: SU Winner – Kings, ATS Winner – Kings, O/U – Under
Notes
Betting Notes:
On the road, Sacramento is 19-16-3 ATS with 19 overs, 18 unders and 1 push.
Phoenix is 13-24-1 ATS at home with 19 unders, 18 overs and 1 push.
Phoenix is 6-2 when they hold opponents under 100 points, while Sacramento is 16-5.
The Suns are 15-34 when they reach the century mark, while the Kings are 17-21.
Sacramento averages 7.9 steals per game, which ranks ninth in the NBA. Phoenix ranks 29th in steals allowed per game (8.7).
The Kings rank sixth in points allowed in the paint per game (42.2) while the Suns rank 25th (47.4).
Sacramento ranks 12th in points off turnovers allowed per game (15.7) while Phoenix ranks 29th (18.8).
The Kings rank 12th in blocks allowed per game (4.7) while the Suns rank 28th (6.0).
Phoenix ranks 11th in rebounds per game (43.9) while Sacramento ranks 26th (40.8).
The Suns rank 14th in three pointers allowed per game (29.1) while the Kings rank 28th (31.7).
Sacramento ranks 18th in fast break points allowed per game (12.2) while Phoenix ranks 29th (14.8).
The Kings are 25th in the league with 21.6 assists per game while the Suns are 29th with 21.1 assists per game.
Bettings Trends:
In their last five games, Sacramento is 2-3 ATS with 4 unders and 1 over.
Phoenix is 4-1 ATS with 4 unders and 1 over over their last five games.
The Kings’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 7.0, down from 7.3 for the season.
During their last five games, the Suns have scored an average of 100.4 points per game (3.4 below their season average) and allowed an average of 107.8 points per game (5.8 below their season average).
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