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Saint Louis Billikens – St. Bonaventure Bonnies Preview – 02.07.2016

Atlantic 10 foes will clash when the St. Bonaventure Bonnies (14-6) take on the Saint Louis Billikens (8-13) at Reilly Center. The game starts at 2:00 pm ET on Sunday, Feb. 7 and can be seen on NBS.

The Bonnies were victorious over Saint Joseph’s 83-73 on Wednesday. Jaylen Adams was the game’s high scorer with 31 points on 10-for-21 shooting. The Billikens, meanwhile, are feeling some disappointment after their 78-67 loss at the hands of Duquesne on Saturday. Ash Yacoubou led the team in scoring with 18 points.

Marcus Posley and Adams have been better than usual over the last five games for the Bonnies. During that stretch, Posley has averaged 22.6 points, 2.2 rebounds, 3.4 assists, 1.0 steal, and 3.4 three-pointers, while Adams has recorded 21.8 points, 3.4 rebounds, 5.6 assists, 1.6 steals, and 2.6 three-pointers a game.

The Bonnies come into this game 14-6 Straight Up (SU) and 11-5 Against The Spread (ATS). They are 3-7 ATS over their last 10 games. St. Bonaventure has averaged 66.1 points per game over the last 10 games, lower than its season average of 78.0. The Bonnies are an impressive shooting team from the line with a .783 free throw percentage, one of the highest marks in Division I. St. Bonaventure is very careful and attentive with the ball, averaging the 41st-fewest turnovers per game at only 11.2.

On the other side, the Billikens have 8-13 SU and 5-13 ATS records. Saint Louis performed well ATS during its last 10 games, earning an 8-2 record. The Billikens have shown improvement on the offensive end over the most recent 10 game stretch. Over that span, Saint Louis is averaging 82.3 PPG, significantly more than their season average of 66.1.

This game marks the season’s first head-to-head clash between St. Bonaventure and Saint Louis. Their previous game was a Bonnies victory, bumping their SU record to 6-4 over Saint Louis in their most recent meetings. The Bonnies also lead the matchup ATS with a record of 8-2. When it comes to field goals, rebounds, and three-pointers, St. Bonaventure held the edge in all three of these categories once in the last five meetings. Saint Louis never did so in those games.

Predictions: SU Winner – StBon, ATS Winner – StBon

Notes

St. Bonaventure averages 78.0 points per game (ranked 70th). Saint Louis, on the other hand, allows 72.0 points per game (ranked 157th).

Ranked 48th, the St. Bonaventure Bonnies have an offensive rating of 112.8. The Saint Louis Billikens rank 212th with a defensive rating of just 104.5.

The St. Bonaventure Bonnies average a field goal percentage of 44.2% this season. The Saint Louis Billikens have a subpar record of 1-9 when opponents have a FG% of 44.2% or greater.

The St. Bonaventure Bonnies rank lower for their field goal percentage (164th) than they do for their effective field goal percentage (140th), but the Saint Louis Billikens have a better FG% ranking (273rd) than eFG% ranking (280th).

St. Bonaventure ranks 64th in the nation with an assist-to-turnover ratio of 1.25. Saint Louis is ranked lower at 196th with an A/TO of 1.01.

St. Bonaventure has forced an average turnover percentage of 19.5% this season. Saint Louis has an underachieving 2-8 record when its TO% is 19.5% or higher.

Written by GMS Previews

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