The Saint Mary’s Gaels (3-1) go head-to-head against the No. 15 Mississippi State Bulldogs (3-1) in the MGM Resorts Main Event Heavyweight at T-Mobile Arena. The game is scheduled to begin at 11 p.m. ET on Wednesday, November 21, 2018.
Saint Mary’s Gaels vs. Mississippi State Bulldogs ATS Prediction
The Gaels are trying to rebound after their 80-63 loss to the Utah State Aggies in their last game. Utah State’s 0.542 effective field goal percentage was their biggest advantage over Saint Mary’s, who had a mark of 0.339. The Aggies’ mark was below their season average of 0.550, while the Gaels’ was below their season average of 0.618. Malik Fitts was Saint Mary’s’ high scorer with 14 points on 3-for-10 shooting.
In the Bulldogs’ previous game, they were beaten by the Arizona State Sun Devils, 72-67. Arizona State’s free throw rate was their largest advantage over Mississippi State. The Sun Devils had a rate of 0.224 (below their season average of 0.368), while the Bulldogs posted a mark of 0.130 (below their season average of 0.172). Mississippi State’s Aric Holman put together a good performance, leading both teams in scoring with 22 points on 9-for-15 shooting.
Getting to the line might be few and far between for Mississippi State in this showdown. Dating back to last season, the Bulldogs rank 282nd in the NCAA with a free throw attempt (FTA) rate of 0.208, while Saint Mary’s ranks 14th in FTA rate allowed (0.180). Additionally, the Gaels rank second in offensive efficiency (120.8), while the Bulldogs rank 45th in defensive efficiency (98.3).
Saint Mary’s vs. Mississippi State Free Pick
College Basketball Prediction: SU Winner – Mississippi State, O/U – Under
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Notes
Betting Notes (2017-Present):
Mississippi State ranks eighth in blocks per game (5.4) while Saint Mary’s ranks 249th (2.5).
The Bulldogs rank 75th in steals per game (7.0) while the Gaels rank 270th (4.8).
Saint Mary’s ranks ninth in three pointers allowed per game (17.3) while Mississippi State ranks 157th (21.8).
The Bulldogs rank 126th in rebounds per game (36.4) while the Gaels rank 256th (33.7).
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