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Saint Peter’s Peacocks – Fairfield Stags Preview – 01.19.2016

The Fairfield Stags (9-8) take on the Saint Peter’s Peacocks (7-8) at Alumni Hall. The game starts at 7:00 pm ET on Tuesday, Jan. 19.

The Stags were victorious over Niagara 73-68 on Friday. Tyler Nelson led all scorers on the team with 27 points on 8-for-14 shooting. The Peacocks, meanwhile, are coming off a 76-67 win over Marist on Sunday. Trevis Wyche shot 5 for 7 and led in scoring with 20 points.

Nelson has really been playing well as of late for the Stags, averaging 19.2 points, 3.0 rebounds, 2.8 assists, 1.6 steals, and 2.4 three-pointers over the last five games. Wyche has also been on fire in the same span, averaging 14.8 points, 3.4 rebounds, 6.0 assists, 1.2 steals, and 0.8 three-pointers while leading the Peacocks.

Second-chance points might be scarce for the Stags in this matchup. They rank 329th in the nation in offensive rebounding (OR% of 23.7%), while Saint Peter’s is 29th-best in the nation on the defensive glass (DR% of 74.9%).

Fairfield is a three-point favorite in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is 144 points. The Stags look to build on their records of 9-8 Straight Up (SU) and 5-7 Against The Spread (ATS).

On the other side, the Peacocks head into the game with records of 8-3 ATS and 7-8 SU.

This game marks the first time these teams will play this season. The last time Fairfield and Saint Peter’s played, Saint Peter’s won, taking the head-to-head record to an even 5-5 SU over their most recent meetings. The Peacocks hold the advantage ATS with a record of 5-4-1. Saint Peter’s topped the Stags in three key areas (field goals, rebounds, and three-pointers) once over the last five matchups. Fairfield has never had the edge in all three categories.

Predictions: SU Winner – Fair, ATS Winner – Fair, O/U – Over

Notes

Fairfield is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games.

Fairfield is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games at home.

Fairfield is 2-4-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Saint Peter’s.

Fairfield is 18-6 SU in its last 24 games when playing Saint Peter’s.

Fairfield is 16-3 SU in its last 19 games when playing at home against Saint Peter’s.

Saint Peter’s sits at 5-1 SU against its conference rivals, while Fairfield is 3-4 SU.

Fairfield scores just 80.1 points per home game (ranked 127th). Saint Peter’s ranks 77th in points allowed on the road, giving up 70.6 points.

The Saint Peter’s Peacocks average a field goal percentage of 42.4% this season. The Fairfield Stags have a losing record of 3-7 when opponents have a FG% of 42.4% or greater.

On average, the Fairfield Stags attempt 26.0 three point field goals per game and the Saint Peter’s Peacocks attempt 19.0. In games where they attempt at least 20 threes, Fairfield has a split 8-8 record, while Saint Peter’s is 4-5.

Fairfield ranks 100th in the nation with an assist-to-turnover ratio of 1.19. Saint Peter’s is ranked lower at 262nd with an A/TO of .92.

Saint Peter’s has forced an average turnover percentage of 18.5% this season. Fairfield has an underachieving 1-7 record when its TO% is 18.5% or higher.

Written by GMS Previews

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