The Chicago Bulls (5-15) take on the San Antonio Spurs (9-10) at the United Center. The game can be seen on NBC Sports Chicago at 8 p.m. ET on Monday, November 26, 2018.
San Antonio is a 6-point favorite on the opening line, while the game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 214.5 points.
San Antonio Spurs at Chicago Bulls Betting Prediction
Although the Spurs were defeated by the Milwaukee Bucks in their last matchup, 135-129, they did cover as 10-point underdogs. The game’s total points (264) came in well over the projected point total of 227. One of Milwaukee’s largest advantages was getting to the free throw line. They had 29 free throw attempts, while San Antonio had 28. DeMar DeRozan led San Antonio in scoring with 34 points on 13-for-26 shooting.
In the Bulls’ last outing, they fell to the Minnesota Timberwolves, 111-96. They failed to cover as 11.5-point underdogs. The game’s total points (207) came in under the projected point total of 219. Minnesota out-rebounded Chicago. The Timberwolves had 21 offensive rebounds and 58 total rebounds, while the Bulls had six and 40, respectively. With 27 points and seven rebounds, Chicago’s Jabari Parker put together a good performance.
After the Spurs won both contests against the Bulls last season, these teams will meet for the first time this year. In the last matchup, San Antonio won 133-94. The Spurs had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (25.8 vs. 12.2) and had a better free throw rate (0.153 vs. 0.093).
San Antonio comes into the game with records of 9-10 straight up (SU) and 10-9 against the spread (ATS). Vegas tends to place the total low when the Spurs are involved, as 57.9 percent of their contests have finished over the total.
Meanwhile, Chicago owns records of 5-15 SU and 9-11 ATS. Unlike San Antonio, games involving the Bulls tend to go under the total (65.0 percent).
Parker has averaged 18 points,8.4 rebounds,3.2 assists over the last five games for Chicago.
It could be a difficult game for Chicago on the offensive glass. The Bulls currently rank 30th in offensive rebounding percentage (16.5 percent), while San Antonio ranks eighth in defensive rebounding percentage (78.6 percent). Additionally, the Spurs rank second in turnover percentage (11.8 percent), while the Bulls rank 21st in opponents’ turnover percentage (13.6 percent).
San Antonio Spurs vs. Chicago Bulls Odds Pick
Free Prediction: SU Winner – Spurs, ATS Winner – Bulls, O/U – Under
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Notes
Betting Notes:
San Antonio is 5-5 ATS on the road with 6 overs and 4 unders.
Chicago is 6-5 ATS at home with 8 unders and 3 overs.
Chicago is 2-1 when they hold opponents below 100 points, while San Antonio is 4-1.
The Bulls are 3-8 when they score over 100 points, while the Spurs are 8-6.
San Antonio ranks fifth in blocks allowed per game (4.5) while Chicago ranks 29th (7.0).
The Spurs rank seventh in three pointers allowed per game (29.4) while the Bulls rank 28th (34.6).
Chicago ranks 12th in steals per game (7.7) while San Antonio ranks 26th (6.2).
The Bulls rank 15th in fast break points per game (13.1) while the Spurs rank 29th (9.1).
San Antonio ranks 14th in second chance points per game (13.8) while Chicago ranks 27th (9.8).
The Spurs rank 16 in rebounds allowed per game (45.10526315789474) while the Bulls rank 29 (49.6).
Chicago ranks 13 in points allowed in the paint per game (47.8) while San Antonio ranks 25 (50.94736842105263).
The Bulls rank 23 in points off turnovers per game (15.75) while the Spurs rank 28 (14.68421052631579).
San Antonio averages 23.263157894736842 assists per game, which ranks 17 in the NBA. Chicago ranks 22 in assists allowed per game (24.5).
Bettings Trends:
Over its last five contests, San Antonio is 3-2 ATS with 4 overs and 1 under.
Chicago is 1-4 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs over its last five games.
The Spurs have outscored opponents by an average of 0.4 points in their last five games. For the season, San Antonio has been defeated by an average of 0.5 points.
During their last five games, the Bulls have scored an average of 100.6 points per game (2.8 below their season average) and allowed an average of 115.0 points per game (2.0 above their season average).
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