The Golden State Warriors (3-1) will look to advance to the Western Conference Semifinals when they square off against the San Antonio Spurs (1-3) at ORACLE Arena in game five of the First Round of the Western Conference Playoffs. The game starts at 10:30 p.m. ET on Tuesday, April 24, 2018, and will air on Fox Sports – Southwest.
Golden State opened as an 11-point favorite, while the game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 204.5 points.
San Antonio Spurs at Golden State Warriors Betting Prediction
In game four, the Warriors lost 103-90, unable to cover as 5.5-point favorites. Durant scored a game-high 34 points and also put up 13 rebounds. The game finished with a total of 193 points, which was 13.5 points below the projected point total of 206.5 points. The Spurs had a much better turnover percentage (8.2 vs. 14.1) and had a much better effective field goal percentage (0.549 vs. 0.417).
The game should be a battle of strength against strength as the high-octane offense of Golden State (second in the NBA with an offensive efficiency of 112.8) takes on the stingy defense of San Antonio (fourth in the league with a defensive efficiency of 103.5). Ball security should be an advantage for the Spurs. They rank 5th at avoiding errors (turnover percentage of 13.0 percent), while the Warriors force the seventh-fewest turnovers in the NBA (opponents’ turnover percentage of 13.0 percent).
San Antonio comes into the contest with records of 48-38 straight up (SU) and 42-40-4 against the spread (ATS). Vegas has typically been fairly accurate when predicting totals of Spurs games, with 44 unders compared to 40 overs.
Golden State has an excellent 61-25 SU record, but they are just 36-47-3 ATS. Contrary to San Antonio, just over half of Warriors games have finished over the total.
San Antonio Spurs at Golden State Warriors Pick
Free Prediction: SU Winner – Warriors, ATS Winner – Spurs, O/U – Under
Notes
Betting Notes:
On the road, San Antonio is 15-25-3 ATS with 22 unders, 19 overs and 2 pushes.
At home, Golden State is 17-24-2 ATS with 21 overs, 21 unders and 1 push.
In games where they hold opponents under 100 points, San Antonio is 33-10 and Golden State is 17-5.
In games where they score more than 100 points, the Spurs are 37-15 and the Warriors are 58-15.
Golden State ranks first in fast break points per game (19.0) while San Antonio ranks 23rd (10.2).
The Spurs rank seventh in points off turnovers allowed per game (15.0) while the Warriors rank 28th (18.5).
San Antonio ranks ninth in second chance points per game (13.1) while Golden State ranks 29th (10.3).
The Warriors rank first in assists per game (29.2) while the Spurs rank 19th (22.6).
San Antonio ranks 12th in steals allowed per game (7.5) while Golden State ranks 29th (8.7).
The Warriors rank 16th in three pointers attempted per game (28.9) while the Spurs rank 26th (24.3).
Golden State ranks fourth in rebounds allowed per game (42.1) while San Antonio ranks 12th (42.8).
Both of these teams are great at blocking the ball. The Warriors lead the NBA with 7.3 blocks per game while the Spurs are fifth with 5.5 blocks per game.
Bettings Trends:
In their last five games, San Antonio is 1-4 ATS with 3 overs, 1 under and 1 push.
Golden State is 3-2 ATS with 2 overs, 2 unders and 1 push over their last five games.
The Spurs have been outscored by an average of 12.0 points in their last five games. For the season, San Antonio has defeated opponents by an average of 2.3 points.
During their last five games, the Warriors have scored an average of 101.6 points per game (11.6 below their season average) and allowed an average of 102.4 points per game (4.7 below their season average).
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