The San Antonio Spurs (8-9) and the Indiana Pacers (11-7), who both like to play patient, will go head-to-head at Bankers Life Fieldhouse. The game starts at 8 p.m. ET on Friday, November 23, 2018, and will air on Fox Sports Midwest – Indiana.
San Antonio Spurs at Indiana Pacers ATS Prediction
The Spurs were unable to cover as 2.5-point favorites in their 104-103 loss to the Memphis Grizzlies in their last game. The game’s combined points (207) finished over the projected point total of 199.5. Memphis’ effective field goal percentage was their biggest advantage over San Antonio. The Grizzlies had a rate of 0.531 (above their season average of 0.515), while the Spurs posted a mark of 0.475. LaMarcus Aldridge had a solid game for San Antonio, recording 19 points and 11 rebounds.
In the Pacers’ previous outing, they lost big to the Charlotte Hornets, 127-109. They failed to cover as 4-point underdogs. The game’s combined points (236) finished well over the projected point total of 215.5. Charlotte’s free throw rate was their largest strength over Indiana. The Hornets had a rate of 0.237 (above their season average of 0.196), while the Pacers posted a mark of 0.190. Bojan Bogdanovic had a good performance for Indiana, leading the team in scoring with 20 points on 6-for-9 shooting.
Half-court execution will be at a premium when a pair of the league’s slowest-paced teams battle. Indiana ranks 27th in possessions per game (99.8) and San Antonio is 26th (100.9). Moreover, the Spurs commit the fewest errors in the NBA (turnover percentage of 11.8 percent), while the ball-hawking defense of the Pacers causes the third-most (opponents’ turnover percentage of 15.9 percent).
San Antonio holds records of 8-9 straight up (SU) and 8-9 against the spread (ATS). Spurs games have gone over the projected point total 52.9 percent of the time.
Indiana is 11-7 SU, but they are just 8-9-1 ATS. Vegas is known to place the total high when the Pacers are involved, as 10 of their 17 games have ended under the total.
Bogdanovic has averaged 19 points,1.6 steals over the last five games for Indiana.
This will be the second game of the season between these two teams. In the first, Domantas Sabonis put up 16 points and 10 rebounds and the Pacers, who were 1.5-point underdogs, defeated the Spurs 116-96. The game finished with a total of 212 points, which was just 1.5 points above the projected point total of 210.5 points. Indiana’s 0.626 effective field goal percentage was its largest advantage over San Antonio, who had a rate of 0.437.
Spurs vs. Pacers ATS Pick
NBA Pick: SU Winner – Spurs, ATS Winner – Spurs, O/U – Over
Click Here to Start Betting Today!
Notes
Betting Notes:
San Antonio is 3-5 ATS on the road with 4 overs and 4 unders.
Indiana is 5-4 ATS at home with 7 unders and 2 overs.
In contests where they allow below 100 points, San Antonio is 4-1 and Indiana is 5-1.
The Spurs are 7-5 when they reach the century mark, while the Pacers are 9-3.
Indiana ranks second in points off turnovers per game (21.2) while San Antonio ranks 27th (14.8).
The Pacers rank fourth in steals per game (8.9) while the Spurs rank 28th (6.2).
San Antonio ranks fifth in blocks allowed per game (4.7) while Indiana ranks 23rd (6.0).
The Pacers rank 12th in fast break points per game (14.7) while the Spurs rank last (8.7).
Indiana ranks first in points allowed in the paint per game (39.7) while San Antonio ranks 18th (49.1).
The Pacers rank 2 in rebounds allowed per game (41.388888888888886) while the Spurs rank 17 (45.35294117647059).
Indiana ranks 1 in second chance points allowed per game (10.277777777777779) while San Antonio ranks 10 (12.470588235294118).
The Pacers rank 13 in assists per game (23.27777777777778) while the Spurs rank 15 in assists allowed per game (23.58823529411765).
Neither of these teams shoot many long balls. Indiana is 28 in the league with 25.5 three pointers per game while San Antonio is 29 with 24.647058823529413 threes per game.
Bettings Trends:
Over its last five contests, San Antonio is 2-3 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders.
Indiana is 2-3 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders over its last five games.
The Spurs’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 5.6, up from 0.9 for the season.
During their last five games, the Pacers have scored an average of 105.8 points per game (0.1 below their season average) and allowed an average of 103.2 points per game (0.8 above their season average).
*****
