The San Antonio Spurs (9-9) will try to slow down the league’s top scoring team when they go head-to-head with the Milwaukee Bucks (13-5) at Fiserv Forum. The game starts at 8:30 p.m. ET on Saturday, November 24, 2018, and will air on NBATV.
Milwaukee opened as a 9.5-point favorite, while the game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 221 points.
San Antonio Spurs at Milwaukee Bucks Betting Prediction
In the Spurs’ last contest, they beat the Indiana Pacers, 111-100, as 2.5-point underdogs. The game’s total points (211) finished over the O/U total of 199.5. San Antonio’s free throw rate was their largest strength over Indiana. The Spurs had a rate of 0.205 (below their season average of 0.211), while the Pacers posted a mark of 0.051 (below their season average of 0.172). San Antonio was led by LaMarcus Aldridge, who was the top scorer from either team with 33 points on 14-for-25 shooting.
The Bucks lost a close one to the Phoenix Suns in their last outing, 116-114, despite being 7.5-point favorites. The total points for the game (230) finished just over the projected point total of 227. Phoenix’s turnover percentage was the team’s biggest strength over Milwaukee. The Suns posted a mark of 9.9 (better than their season average of 15.4), while the Bucks had a rate of 12.3. Milwaukee’s Giannis Antetokounmpo put together a good game, leading both teams in scoring with 35 points on 14-for-16 shooting.
After the Bucks won both contests against the Spurs last season, this will be the first matchup of the year between these two teams. In the most recent matchup, Milwaukee won 106-103. Milwaukee had a better effective field goal percentage (0.541 vs. 0.467). San Antonio, on the other hand, had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (41.7 vs. 21.4).
San Antonio holds records of 9-9 straight up (SU) and 8-9 against the spread (ATS). Vegas has typically been fairly accurate when predicting totals of Spurs games, with 9 overs compared to 8 unders.
Meanwhile, Milwaukee is 13-5 SU and 11-6 ATS. Games involving the Bucks have typically finished over the total (76.5 percent).
Eric Bledsoe has averaged 18 points,5.8 rebounds,5.2 assists,2.2 steals over the last five games for Milwaukee.
It will be a matchup of opposite paces as the up-tempo Bucks will look to push the more methodical Spurs. The Bucks rank fourth in possessions per game while the Spurs are 25th. Furthermore, the Spurs rank second in turnover percentage (12.0 percent), while the Bucks rank 26th in opponents’ turnover percentage (12.3 percent).
San Antonio Spurs vs. Milwaukee Bucks ATS Pick
NBA Pick: SU Winner – Bucks, ATS Winner – Bucks, O/U – Over
Click Here to Start Betting Today!
Notes
Betting Notes:
On the road, San Antonio is 3-5 ATS with 4 overs and 4 unders.
At home, Milwaukee is 8-2 ATS with 8 overs and 2 unders.
When allowing below 100 points, Milwaukee is 3-0 and San Antonio is 4-1.
When reaching 100 points, the Spurs are 8-5 and the Bucks are 13-5.
Milwaukee ranks second in three pointers attempted per game (40.5) while San Antonio ranks 28th (24.4).
The Bucks rank second in points in the paint per game (56.7) while the Spurs rank 27th (41.0).
Milwaukee ranks first in fast break points allowed per game (9.5) while San Antonio ranks 21st (14.6).
The Bucks rank fifth in blocks per game (6.2) while the Spurs rank 24th (4.1).
Milwaukee ranks second in assists per game (27.2) while San Antonio ranks 20th (23.1).
The Bucks rank 9 in points off turnovers per game (18.166666666666668) while the Spurs rank 25 (14.5).
Milwaukee ranks 1 in rebounds per game (51.27777777777778) while San Antonio ranks 17 in rebounds allowed per game (45.333333333333336).
The Bucks rank 2 in second chance points allowed per game (10.5) while the Spurs rank 9 (12.555555555555555).
Milwaukee ranks 22 in steals per game (6.888888888888889) while San Antonio ranks 28 (6.055555555555555).
Bettings Trends:
In its last five outings, San Antonio is 2-3 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders.
Milwaukee is 4-1 ATS with 4 overs and 1 under over its last five games.
The Spurs have outscored opponents by an average of 0.6 points in their last five games. On the season, San Antonio has lost by an average of 0.2 points.
During their last five games, the Bucks have scored an average of 119.4 points per game (1.6 below their season average) and allowed an average of 106.8 points per game (2.1 below their season average).
*****
