The Minnesota Timberwolves (10-11) take on the San Antonio Spurs (10-10) at the Target Center. The game starts at 8 p.m. ET on Wednesday, November 28, 2018, and will air on Fox Sports – North.
The Over/Under (O/U) for the game opened at 216 points with Minnesota set as a 4-point favorite.
San Antonio Spurs at Minnesota Timberwolves ATS Prediction
Although the Spurs defeated the Chicago Bulls in their last contest, 108-107, they failed to cover as 6.5-point favorites. The combined points for the game (215) were just under the projected point total of 215.5. San Antonio’s 15.2 offensive rebounding percentage was their largest advantage over Chicago, who had a rate of 11.4. The Spurs’ mark was below their season average of 23.9, while the Bulls’ was below their season average of 16.4. San Antonio received a boost from LaMarcus Aldridge, who finished with 20 points and eight rebounds.
In the Timberwolves’ previous game, they defeated the Cleveland Cavaliers, 102-95, covering as 6-point favorites. The game’s combined points (197) came in well under the O/U total of 214. The Timberwolves forced 16 turnovers, while the Cavaliers had a free throw rate of 0.151 (below their season average of 0.196). Robert Covington was the game’s top scorer with 24 points on 8-for-12 shooting from the field.
This will be the second game of the season between these two teams. Jimmy Butler put up 23 points and 7 rebounds in the first matchup, in which the Timberwolves lost 112-108, unable to cover as 2.5-point underdogs. The game finished with a total of 220 points, which was 8 points above the projected point total of 212 points. San Antonio’s rebounding was their largest strength. The Spurs had more offensive rebounds (19 vs. 14), defensive rebounds (33 vs. 32) and total rebounds (52 vs. 46).
San Antonio heads into the game with records of 10-10 straight up (SU) and 10-10 against the spread (ATS). Spurs games tend to go over the total (55.0 percent).
Meanwhile, Minnesota owns records of 10-11 SU and 11-10 ATS. Unlike San Antonio, Timberwolves games tend to go under the O/U total (71.4 percent).
San Antonio could struggle to create turnovers. Minnesota ranks sixth in the NBA at avoiding errors (turnover percentage of 13.0 percent), while San Antonio forces the fifth-fewest turnovers (12.5 percent).
San Antonio Spurs vs. Minnesota Timberwolves Odds Pick
Pick: SU Winner – Timberwolves, ATS Winner – Spurs, O/U – Under
Click Here to Start Betting Today!
Notes
Betting Notes:
On the road, San Antonio is 5-6 ATS with 6 overs and 5 unders.
At home, Minnesota is 7-4 ATS with 7 unders and 4 overs.
When allowing under 100 points, San Antonio is 4-1 and Minnesota is 4-0.
The Timberwolves are 10-7 when they reach 100 points, while the Spurs are 9-6.
Minnesota ranks second in steals per game (9.5) while San Antonio ranks 27th (6.2).
The Timberwolves rank ninth in fast break points per game (15.1) while the Spurs rank 29th (8.8).
San Antonio ranks seventh in second chance points allowed per game (12.1) while Minnesota ranks 26th (15.5).
The Timberwolves rank 11th in blocks per game (5.5) while the Spurs rank 26th (4.0).
Minnesota ranks 16th in points in the paint per game (46.5) while San Antonio ranks 27th (42.2).
The Spurs average 23.55 assists per game, which ranks 16 in the league. The Timberwolves rank 27 in assists allowed per game (25.285714285714285).
Minnesota ranks 16 in points off turnovers per game (16.476190476190474) while San Antonio ranks 26 (14.45).
The Spurs rank 15 in rebounds allowed per game (45.05) while the Timberwolves rank 25 (47.38095238095238).
Minnesota ranks 21 in three pointers attempted per game (29.571428571428573) while San Antonio ranks 29 (24.55).
Bettings Trends:
Over its last five contests, San Antonio is 2-3 ATS with 4 overs and 1 under.
Minnesota is 3-2 ATS with 5 unders over its last five games.
The Spurs’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 1.8, up from 0.5 for the season.
During their last five games, the Timberwolves have scored an average of 102.6 points per game (6.4 below their season average) and allowed an average of 99.2 points per game (12.0 below their season average).
*****
