The Sacramento Kings (7-6) go head-to-head with the San Antonio Spurs (7-4) at the Golden 1 Center. The game can be seen on NBC Sports – California at 10 p.m. ET on Monday, November 12, 2018.
San Antonio opened as a 3-point favorite, while the game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 218 points.
San Antonio Spurs at Sacramento Kings Betting Prediction
The Spurs come in on a high note after beating the Houston Rockets in their last contest, 96-89, as 3.5-point underdogs. The game’s combined points (185) came in well under the O/U total of 213. San Antonio made 10 of their 20 three pointers (50.0 percent), while Houston was 9-41 (22.0 percent). San Antonio was lifted by LaMarcus Aldridge, who was the top scorer from either team with 27 points on 10-for-21 shooting.
The last time the Kings played, they fell to the Los Angeles Lakers, 101-86. They failed to cover as 6-point underdogs. The total points for the game (187) came in well under the projected point total of 237. Los Angeles’ 11.6 turnover percentage was their largest advantage over Sacramento, who had a rate of 15.9. The Lakers’ mark was better than their season average of 12.9, while the Kings’ was above their season average of 12.1. With 21 points on 8-for-17 shooting, De’Aaron Fox was Sacramento’s high scorer.
After the Spurs won all four games against the Kings last season, these teams will meet for the first time this year. In the most recent contest, San Antonio won 98-85. San Antonio did a fantastic job of getting and making free throws (24-29; 82.8 percent). Sacramento, meanwhile, had a better offensive rebounding percentage (26.1 vs. 25.0).
San Antonio holds records of 7-4 straight up (SU) and 6-5 against the spread (ATS). Vegas has typically been fairly accurate when setting the O/U total of Spurs games, with 6 overs compared to 5 unders.
Meanwhile, Sacramento is 7-6 SU and 8-5 ATS. Kings games also have a slight tendency to finish over the O/U total (53.8 percent).
Fox has averaged 19.2 points and 8.0 assists over the last five games for Sacramento.
It will be a battle of conflicting styles as the fast-breaking Kings (ranked third in the league in possessions per game) will look to push the more grind-it-out Spurs (23rd in possessions per game).
San Antonio Spurs vs. Sacramento Kings Betting Pick
NBA Tip: SU Winner – Kings, ATS Winner – Kings, O/U – Under
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Notes
Betting Notes:
San Antonio is 2-2 ATS on the road with 2 overs and 2 unders.
Sacramento is 4-2 ATS at home with 5 unders and 1 over.
San Antonio is 3-1 when they hold opponents below 100 points, while Sacramento is 2-0.
When reaching 100 points, the Spurs are 6-2 and the Kings are 6-5.
Sacramento ranks third in points in the paint per game (55.1) while San Antonio ranks 29th (40.0).
The Kings rank first in fast break points per game (22.8) while the Spurs rank 27th (7.0).
San Antonio ranks 15th in three pointers allowed per game (30.8) while Sacramento ranks 29th (36.5).
The Spurs average 45.7 rebounds per game, which ranks 14th in the league. The Kings rank 26th in rebounds allowed per game (50.0).
San Antonio ranks 17th in second chance points per game (13.1) while Sacramento ranks 26th (11.4).
The Spurs average 6.6 steals per game, which ranks 22nd in the league. The Kings rank 24th in steals allowed per game (8.5).
San Antonio averages 23.6 assists per game, which ranks 15th in the NBA. Sacramento ranks 17th in assists allowed per game (24.2).
The Kings average 20.6 points off turnovers per game, which ranks sixth in the league. The Spurs rank seventh in points off turnovers allowed per game (15.3).
Bettings Trends:
In its last five outings, San Antonio is 3-2 ATS with 4 unders and 1 over.
Sacramento is 2-3 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs over its last five games.
The Spurs’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 7.4, up from 1.6 for the season.
During their last five games, the Kings have scored an average of 113.4 points per game (1.9 below their season average) and allowed an average of 116.8 points per game (0.0 above their season average).
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