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San Antonio Spurs vs Golden State Warriors Pick and Game Odds

The Golden State Warriors (62-13) and their second-ranked offense travel to San Antonio (50-26) to take on the Spurs and their top-ranked defense. Action begins at 7:00 pm ET on Sunday, Apr. 5 and can be seen on NBA TV, CSN-BA and FSN-SW.

The Spurs played well in their last game, blowing out the Nuggets 123-93 on Friday. Danny Green was the game’s leading scorer with 21 points on 7-for-9 shooting. The Warriors, meanwhile, are coming off a 107-106 win against the Suns on Thursday. Stephen Curry was the game’s top scorer, registering 28 points on 10-for-22 shooting.

Baskets could be hard to come by as San Antonio ranks second in the league, allowing just 99.6 points per 100 possessions, while Golden State is first (98.0). Also, the Warriors’s second-ranked offense (offensive efficiency of 108.5) will face off against the second-ranked defense of the Spurs (defensive efficiency of 99.6).

Both teams have won a game in the season series. The Warriors had the upper hand in the most recent game, a 110-99 win. Curry put up a double-double in the victory with 25 points and 11 assists.

The odds for San Antonio and Golden State are even, while the Over/Under (O/U) is currently unavailable. The Spurs have gone 50-26 Straight Up (SU) and 38-36-2 Against The Spread (ATS). Over their last 10 games, they have had success covering the spread (9-1). The Spurs are one of the best in the NBA in terms of free throw percentage, shooting an impressive .779 from the free throw line.

Over on the other bench, the Warriors have 62-13 SU and 45-29-1 ATS records. Golden State performed well ATS during its last 10 games, earning an 8-2 record. Offensively, they average 106.7 points per game on the road, which is second in the league. The Warriors convert their three-pointers at a high percentage, leading the league at .397. The Warriors are the better of the two teams when it comes to assist-to-turnover ratio, ranking second in the NBA at 1.94. Shifting to the other side of the court, teams with weak ball handling have not fared well against the Warriors, who rank fourth in the league with 9.4 steals per game. Golden State is the second-best team in the league at scoring points off turnovers with 19.5 per game.

The Warriors’ win over San Antonio in their last clash wasn’t enough for them to overtake the Spurs in the recent head-to-head series. Their record is now 2-8 SU over the last 10 meetings. With a 7-3 record, the Spurs also have the advantage ATS. Golden State held the advantage in field goals, rebounds, and three-pointers twice in the last 10 matchups. On the other side of the court, San Antonio never accomplished this feat in that span.

Predictions: SU Winner – GS, ATS Winner – GS

Notes

The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Antonio’s last 5 games.

San Antonio is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games.

The total has gone OVER in 7 of San Antonio’s last 10 games at home.

San Antonio is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home.

San Antonio is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Golden State.

San Antonio is 24-1 SU in its last 25 games when playing at home against Golden State.

The Golden State Warriors average the most points per game this season with 109.8, while the San Antonio Spurs are the third-best team in points allowed with 97.0.

Golden State scores an average of 106.7 points per away game (ranked second). San Antonio ranks 16th in points allowed per home game with 98.2.

The Golden State Warriors won their last game by a one-point margin. In games decided by a margin of three points or less, the San Antonio Spurs are 5-7. Golden State is 5-2 in close games this season.

The Golden State Warriors are undefeated at 40-0 when they allow fewer than 100 points, while the San Antonio Spurs are 15-18 when they can’t put up at least 100.

When the Warriors give up at least 100 points to their opponent, they are 22-13. When the Spurs hit the century mark, they also have a winning record (35-8).

Golden State’s offense and San Antonio’s defense both rank second this season. Golden State has an offensive rating of 108.5 and San Antonio has a defensive rating of 99.6.

The San Antonio Spurs have one of the best field goal percentages this season, ranking fourth in the league with a FG% of 46.4%. When their opponents have a similar or higher FG%, the Golden State Warriors are 10-8.

On average, San Antonio attempts 22.8 three pointers and Golden State attempts 27.0 per game. Both teams have winning records when they have 25 or more three point attempts. The Spurs sit at 17-10 and the Warriors are 44-9.

Golden State ranks near the top of the league with an assist to turnover ratio of 1.94 (ranked second). San Antonio is ranked sixth, with an A/TO of 1.81 this season.

The Golden State Warriors are one of the best rebounding teams in the league, earning 44.7 rebounds per game (ranked fifth). The San Antonio Spurs rank 15th, rebounding 43.7 times each contest.

The Golden State Warriors rank 21st in offensive rebounding, while the San Antonio Spurs rank eighth in defensive rebounding.

Golden State is among the best in forcing turnovers, with opponents averaging a TOV% of 15.5% (ranked sixth). San Antonio has a 14-11 record SU when its TOV% reaches 15.5% or greater.

Written by GMS Previews

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