The Utah Jazz (11-13) meet the San Antonio Spurs (11-12) at Vivint Smart Home Arena. The game can be seen on NBATV at 9 p.m. ET on Tuesday, December 4, 2018.
Utah opened as a 6-point favorite, while the Over/Under (O/U) for the game has been set at 214.5 points.
San Antonio Spurs vs. Utah Jazz Free Prediction
In the Spurs’ last outing, they easily covered the 1-point spread against the Portland Trail Blazers, 131-118. The total points for the game (249) came in well over the O/U total of 218. The Spurs forced 17 turnovers and had a free throw rate of 0.241 (above their season average of 0.202). San Antonio received a boost from DeMar DeRozan, who was the team’s leading scorer with 36 points on 13-for-27 shooting.
The Jazz lost a close one to the Miami Heat in their last matchup, 102-100, despite being 4-point favorites. The game’s total points (202) came in under the O/U total of 208.5. Miami’s free throw rate was their largest advantage over Utah. The Heat had a rate of 0.187 (below their season average of 0.204), while the Jazz posted a mark of 0.124 (below their season average of 0.230). With 12 points and 18 rebounds, Utah’s Rudy Gobert put together a good performance.
After the Jazz won three out of four games against the Spurs last season, these teams will clash for the first time this year. In the most recent game, San Antonio won 124-120. San Antonio had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (27.5 vs. 11.6). Utah, meanwhile, did a great job of getting to and converting from the charity stripe (23-29; 79.3 percent).
San Antonio heads into the contest with records of 11-12 straight up (SU) and 11-12 against the spread (ATS). Of the Spurs’ 23 games, 14 have gone over the projected point total.
Meanwhile, Utah owns records of 11-13 SU and 11-13 ATS. Coinciding with San Antonio, games including the Jazz also have typically gone over the O/U total (62.5 percent).
Half-court execution will be critical when a pair of the league’s slowest-paced teams clash. Utah currently ranks 23rd in possessions per game (101.1) and San Antonio is 25th (100.7).
San Antonio Spurs at Utah Jazz Betting Pick
NBA Tip: SU Winner – Jazz, ATS Winner – Jazz, O/U – Over
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Notes
Betting Notes:
San Antonio is 5-7 ATS on the road with 7 overs and 5 unders.
Utah is 3-5 ATS at home with 7 overs and 1 under.
When allowing less than 100 points, San Antonio is 4-1 and Utah is 4-2.
When scoring over 100 points, the Spurs are 10-7 and the Jazz are 9-7.
Utah ranks eighth in steals per game (8.5) while San Antonio ranks 29th (5.8).
The Spurs rank eighth in points off turnovers allowed per game (15.7) while the Jazz rank 27th (19.0).
Utah ranks 13th in three pointers attempted per game (31.9) while San Antonio ranks 29th (24.4).
The Jazz rank 12th in points in the paint per game (48.7) while the Spurs rank 27th (42.2).
Utah ranks 15th in blocks per game (5.4) while San Antonio ranks 25th (4.1).
The Jazz rank 5 in rebounds allowed per game (42.666666666666664) while the Spurs rank 15 (44.869565217391305).
Utah ranks 5 in second chance points allowed per game (11.916666666666666) while San Antonio ranks 11 (12.565217391304348).
The Jazz rank 17 in assists per game (23.541666666666668) while the Spurs rank 21 in assists allowed per game (25).
Utah ranks 27 in fast break points per game (9.833333333333334) while San Antonio ranks 28 (9.217391304347826).
Bettings Trends:
In its last five outings, San Antonio is 2-3 ATS with 4 overs and 1 under.
Utah is 3-2 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders over its last five games.
The Spurs’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 12.4, up from 2.9 for the season.
During their last five games, the Jazz have scored an average of 108.2 points per game (2.5 above their season average) and allowed an average of 107.4 points per game (0.6 below their season average).
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