The Washington Wizards (40-33) will have their hands full against the NBA’s top scoring defense when they take on the San Antonio Spurs (43-31) at Capital One Arena. The game can be seen on Fox Sports – Southwest at 7 p.m. ET on Tuesday, March 27, 2018.
The Over/Under (O/U) for the game opened at 200.5 points with San Antonio set as a 1-point favorite.
San Antonio Spurs at Washington Wizards Betting Prediction
In the Spurs’ last outing, they were beaten by the Milwaukee Bucks, 106-103. Milwaukee’s 0.541 effective field goal percentage was their largest advantage over San Antonio, who had a rate of 0.467. The Bucks’ mark was above their season average of 0.533, while the Spurs’ was below the 0.527 mark opponents have averaged against Milwaukee this season. LaMarcus Aldridge was the top scorer from either team with 34 points on 12-for-21 shooting.
The Wizards lost to the New York Knicks in their last game, 101-97. New York’s 0.500 effective field goal percentage was their largest advantage over Washington, who had a rate of 0.460. The Knicks’ mark was below their season average of 0.509, while the Wizards’ was below their season average of 0.526. Washington’s Otto Porter Jr. finished with 13 points and 10 rebounds in the contest.
Washington may have trouble getting to the charity stripe in this meeting. The Wizards currently rank 13th in the league with a free throw attempt (FTA) rate of 0.201, while San Antonio ranks first in FTA rate allowed (0.167).
San Antonio comes into the game with records of 43-31 straight up (SU) and 38-32-4 against the spread (ATS). A little over half of the Spurs’ games have finished under the O/U total.
Meanwhile, Washington owns records of 40-33 SU and 32-39-2 ATS. Much like San Antonio, a little over half of Wizards games have finished under the O/U total.
Aldridge has averaged 33.8 points, 9.4 rebounds and 2.0 blocks over the last five games for San Antonio.
This will be the second game of the season between these two teams. In the first, Aldridge scored a game-high 27 points and the Spurs defeated the Wizards 98-90, covering as 5.5-point favorites. He also put up nine rebounds. The game finished with a total of 188 points, which was 14 points below the projected point total of 202 points. The Spurs had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (31.6 vs. 23.1) and had a better effective field goal percentage (0.538 vs. 0.470).
San Antonio Spurs vs. Washington Wizards Free Pick
Pick: SU Winner – Spurs, ATS Winner – Wizards, O/U – Under
Notes
Betting Notes:
On the road, San Antonio is 15-19-3 ATS with 22 unders, 14 overs and 1 push.
At home, Washington is 12-23-2 ATS with 18 overs, 17 unders and 2 pushes.
When holding opponents under 100 points, Washington is 18-4 and San Antonio is 29-10.
In games where they reach the century mark, the Spurs are 33-11 and the Wizards are 37-18.
San Antonio ranks fourth in blocks per game (5.6) while Washington ranks 23rd (4.3).
The Spurs average 13.1 second chance points per game, which ranks 10th in the NBA. The Wizards rank 24th in second chance points allowed per game (13.2).
Washington ranks fifth in assists per game (24.9) while San Antonio ranks 15th (22.8).
The Spurs rank fifth in three pointers allowed per game (26.5) while the Wizards rank 13th (29.0).
Washington averages 8.0 steals per game, which ranks 10th in the league. San Antonio ranks 17th in steals allowed per game (7.7).
The Spurs rank eighth in rebounds per game (44.4) while the Wizards rank 12th in rebounds allowed per game (42.5).
San Antonio ranks 17th in points in the paint per game (43.9) while Washington ranks 18th in points allowed in the paint per game (45.6).
The Wizards average 11.4 fast break points per game, which ranks 16th in the league. The Spurs rank 17th in fast break points allowed per game (12.1).
Bettings Trends:
In their last five games, San Antonio is 4-1 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders.
Washington is 1-4 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs over their last five games.
The Spurs’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 7.8, up from 3.2 for the season.
During their last five games, the Wizards have scored an average of 104.2 points per game (2.8 below their season average) and allowed an average of 106.6 points per game (0.6 above their season average).
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