The San Diego Chargers (2-8) travel to take on the Jacksonville Jaguars (4-6) looking to put an end to their six-game losing streak. The NFL’s second-leading passer, Philip Rivers (3,211 yards, 19 TDs), will play an integral role in the outcome of this game. Kickoff is at 1:00 p.m. ET on Sunday, Nov 29 and will air on CBS.
In last week’s game, Jacksonville got a win over the Titans 19-13. Aaron Colvin led the defensive effort for Jacksonville in the victory, recording seven tackles and one sack. Allen Robinson had a great game as well, adding 113 yards on five catches. San Diego is hoping for a different outcome after struggling mightily against the Chiefs 33-3. Corey Liuget led the defensive effort for San Diego, recording five tackles and one sack.
Jacksonville is a three-point favorite against the Chargers. The Over/Under (O/U) line is currently at 48 points for this matchup.
Even with a subpar Straight Up (SU) record of 4-6, the Jaguars play better than expected, going 6-4 Against The Spread (ATS) so far this year. In their five most recent matchups, the Jaguars went 3-2 SU and 4-1 ATS. Jacksonville hopes to take advantage of a Chargers defense that allows 12.1 yards per pass, 30th in the NFL. Crossing over to the defensive side of the ball, the Jaguars look to have a distinct advantage in certain spots. The Chargers could struggle to get their rushing game established against the Jaguars. They are one of the least-effective running teams in the NFL, averaging 81.9 rushing yards per game. The Jaguars will need to strip the football against San Diego. The Chargers rank near the bottom on the league in fumbles lost with one per road game. In the second quarter, Jacksonville is solid, putting up 9.3 points.
Across the field, the Chargers head into Week 12 with records of 3-7 ATS and 2-8 SU. Over their last five games, the Chargers have a SU record of 0-5 and a 2-3 record ATS. San Diego will look to continue relying on its passing attack, where its 310.7 passing yards per game ranks third in the league. Moving on to the San Diego defense, it has some favorable matchups that it may be able to take advantage of as well. San Diego is a menacing group for opposing offenses. When the Chargers are on the road, they give up 216.2 yards per game through the air, fourth in the league. When San Diego’s offense hits the field, they tend to act fast. With an average of 68.6, the team ranks fifth in the league for number of plays per game.
Predictions: SU Winner – Jax, ATS Winner – SD, O/U – Over
Notes
Jacksonville is 7-18 SU in its last 25 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Jacksonville’s last 6 games.
Jacksonville is 7-16 SU in its last 23 games at home.
Jacksonville is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home.
Jacksonville is 7-13-1 ATS in its last 21 games at home.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Jacksonville’s last 7 games when playing San Diego.
Jacksonville is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing San Diego.
San Diego is 0-3 SU when leading at the half this season. Jacksonville is 2-1 SU when taking a lead into halftime.
This season, San Diego is only 1-6 SU in games where it wins the turnover battle, and an even 1-1 SU when losing the turnover battle.
Jacksonville has induced an average of 8.2 penalties on opponents over its last five games, but San Diego is 3-1 SU this season when penalized eight or more times in a game.
Jacksonville is rated higher in the ground game on both sides of the ball. Its 25th-ranked rushing attack will face the 26th-ranked run defense of San Diego, while its ninth-ranked rush defense will look to contain the 30th-ranked run game of the Chargers.
