The San Diego Padres will play their divisional rival Arizona Diamondbacks at Chase Field. The matchup will begin at 8:10 p.m. ET and fans looking to watch it can tune in to Fox Sports Arizona.
San Diego Padres at Arizona Diamondbacks Odds
Vegas is listing Arizona (-195) as the favorite over San Diego (+182). The total sits at 8 runs and bettors can take the over for +110 and the under for -130. Gamblers can also bet on the game’s runline with the most recent odds sitting at Padres +1.5 runs (-120) and Diamondbacks +-1.5 runs (+100).
The Padres are 8-13 SU and have gone 8-12 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 3.5 units for moneyline gamblers in the season’s early going and 6.5 units ATS. San Diego has covered the spread just twice over its last seven games and the over has hit in five of those seven. The Diamondbacks, on the other hand, are 13-6 SU and 10-8 ATS. The team’s gained 9.0 units for moneyline bettors and 2.4 units ATS. Arizona has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven.
Arizona games have a 9-9 over/under record so far in 2018. San Diego has an over/under record of 10-9-1.
Southpaw Clayton Richard will get the start for the visiting Padres. Richard is 1-1 with a 5.73 ERA and 16 strikeouts. He has yet to face Arizona this year, but he made four starts against the Diamondbacks in 2017, putting together a 2-2 record against them with a 4.44 ERA and 21 strikeouts.
The Diamondbacks are turning to righty Zack Godley (2-1, 3.00 ERA), who has 16 strikeouts and seven walks as well as a 1.11 WHIP. Godley made four starts against the team in 2017, putting together a 0-2 record in 2017, posting a 0-2 record with a 4.50 ERA and 22 strikeouts.
San Diego’s pitching staff allowed 4.8 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.58 ERA, 1.54 WHIP and 7.90 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 2.67, along with a WHIP of 1.54.
The Padres offense has slashed .222/.296/.373 on its way to 3.8 runs scored per game this season, including 4.3 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.8 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).
San Diego’s offensive production been led by third baseman Christian Villanueva and first baseman Eric Hosmer. Villanueva is hitting .333/.438/.741 with six home runs, 14 RBIs and 11 runs scored, while Hosmer has a .263 average with two homers, four RBIs and 10 runs scored.
In the home-team dugout, Arizona’s pitching staff has allowed 3.2 runs per game overall in 2018. The club’s starting pitching staff has an ERA of 3.27, a WHIP of 1.09 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.9. The bullpen has posted a solid ERA of just 2.20, a WHIP of 1.07 and a K/9 of 8.8. In 16 divisional games, Diamondbacks starters have an ERA of 3.19 and the bullpen’s ERA is 2.56.
The Arizona hitters have produced 4.5 runs per outing, including 4.7 per game against divisional foes and 2.0 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .161/.226/.297 over its last five games and is 2-3 SU during that span.
The Diamondbacks’ offense has been led by first baseman Paul Goldschmidt and left fielder David Peralta. Goldschmidt is hitting .242/.398/.515 with four home runs, 10 RBIs and 14 runs scored, and Peralta’s line sits at .333/.413/.500 with 22 hits, nine RBIs and 11 runs.
Compared to his total season slash line of .298/.405/.560, Goldschmidt enjoyed batting against left-handed pitching at home last year, slashing .313/.483/.641 over 87 such plate appearances.
The Padres have lost 4.0 units and are 5-7 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has cashed in five of those games, as opposed to six that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Diamondbacks have netted 8.3 units and are 6-3 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over’s hit in five of those games, compared to four that went under the total.
San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Diamondbacks, ATS Winner – Padres, O/U – UNDER
Notes
Betting Trends
San Diego has recorded 18.5 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 18.8 over its last five.
The Padres have hit 11 home runs in their last 10 games. The Diamondbacks have hit 12 over their last 10.
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