The San Diego Padres are heading east to face the Cincinnati Reds at Great American Ball Park. The first pitch is scheduled for 6:40 p.m. ET and Fox Sports San Diego is in line to broadcast this NL showdown.
San Diego Padres at Cincinnati Reds Odds
San Diego (+150) is the underdog against Cincinnati (-160) and Vegas has the Over/Under for this night game at 8.5 runs. The odds for wagering on the game’s total sit at -120 for the over and +100 for the under. Runline odds stand at -145 for picking the Padres +1.5 runs and +125 for the Reds -1.5.
The Padres have gone 55-86 SU this year and are 67-74 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 15.2 units for moneyline gamblers and 27.9 units ATS. The Reds, on the other hand, are 59-81 SU and 78-61 ATS. They’ve lost 8.6 units for bettors taking the moneyline while earning 2.3 units ATS.
Reds games have an over/under record of 72-63-4 in 2018. The Padres have an over/under record of 66-70-5.
Eric Lauer will get the nod for the visiting Padres. Lauer is 5-7 with a 5.01 ERA and 77 strikeouts. He’s 1-0 with four strikeouts and a 1.80 ERA against Cincinnati this year.
The Reds are sending righty Luis Castillo (8-11, 4.83 ERA) to the mound. Castillo has 142 strikeouts and 43 walks to his name, as well as a 1.28 WHIP. Castillo is 0-1 with three strikeouts and a 7.71 ERA in one start against San Diego this year.
Cincinnati’s pitching staff has given up 5.2 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. Its starting pitching staff has an ERA of 5.20, a WHIP of 1.44 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.6. The bullpen has a 4.20 ERA, 1.41 WHIP and 8.0 K/9.
Cincinnati’s offense has produced 4.5 runs per contest, including 4.3 per game over its last 10 games and 3.2 per game over its last five. The team has hit .243/.316/.402 over its last five matchups and is 2-3 SU during that span.
Second baseman Scooter Gennett and shortstop Jose Peraza have paced the Reds’ batters this year. Gennett is slashing .320/.367/.512 with 22 home runs, 84 RBIs and 82 runs scored, while Peraza’s line sits at .284/.325/.404 with 10 homers, 46 RBIs, 74 runs and 20 stolen bases.
For the visiting squad, San Diego’s pitching staff allowed 4.7 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 5.08 ERA, 1.46 WHIP and 7.30 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.50, along with a K/9 of 9.95.
Padres hitters have slashed .234/.298/.376 on their way to 3.8 runs scored per game this season, including 3.8 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 3.6 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).
First baseman Eric Hosmer and shortstop Freddy Galvis continue to lead San Diego’s hitters. Hosmer is slashing .250/.317/.386 with 13 home runs, 56 RBIs and 62 runs scored, while Galvis (.236/.292/.360) has produced 11 homers, 58 RBIs and 50 runs scored.
The Padres have gained 0.6 units and are 51-45 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over’s hit in 41 of those games, compared to 52 that’ve gone under against -handed starting pitchers.
San Diego Padres at Cincinnati Reds Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Reds, ATS Winner – Padres, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Trends
The under has cashed in five of San Diego’s last seven games.
San Diego has posted 20.8 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 17.6 over its last five.
The Padres have hit 15 home runs in their last 10 games. The Reds have hit 13 over their last 10.
