The San Diego Padres will pay a visit to Denver to take on their divisional rival Rockies at Coors Field. The game gets going at 8:40 p.m. ET and the matchup will be shown on both ATRM and FSSD.
San Diego Padres at Colorado Rockies Odds
Vegas is listing Colorado (-175) as the favorite over San Diego (+165). The total stands at 11 runs and bettors can take the over for +100 and the under for -120. You can also bet on the game’s runline with the most recent odds standing at Padres +1.5 runs (-135) and Rockies +-1.5 runs (+115).
The Rockies are 12-11 SU and 12-10 ATS. They’ve gained 2.8 units for moneyline bettors and 2.1 units against the spread (ATS). Colorado has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven. The Padres are 8-15 SU and have gone 9-13 ATS. Overall, the team’s lost 3.5 units for moneyline gamblers over the early part of the season and 7.0 units ATS. San Diego has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven.
Colorado games have had an over/under record of 10-10-2 so far in 2018. San Diego has an over/under record of 10-10-2.
Bryan Mitchell will get the start for San Diego. The right-handed Mitchell is 0-2 with a 5.03 ERA and seven strikeouts. He’s 0-1 with a 9.00 ERA against Colorado this year.
The Rockies are sending righty Chad Bettis (3-0, 1.44 ERA) to the mound. Bettis has 15 strikeouts and 10 walks to his name, as well as a 1.08 WHIP. Bettis is 1-0 with four strikeouts and a 3.60 ERA in one start against San Diego this year.
Colorado’s pitching staff has allowed 5.0 runs per game overall this season as a unit. Its starters have a 4.85 ERA, 1.47 WHIP and 7.9 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.70 ERA, 1.20 WHIP and 9.1 K/9. In 10 divisional games, Rockies starters have an ERA of 4.62 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.93.
Colorado’s hitters are putting up 4.0 runs per outing, including 4.5 per game against divisional foes and 4.2 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .241/.337/.380 over its last five games and is 2-3 SU during that span.
Outfielder Charlie Blackmon and third baseman Nolan Arenado have led the Rockies’ batters this year. Blackmon is slashing .304/.392/.696 with eight home runs, 15 RBIs and 18 runs scored, and Arenado’s line sits at .344/.427/.578 with three homers, 10 RBIs and eight runs.
Blackmon seemed to enjoy hitting right-handed pitchers at home last year. Across 234 such plate appearances, he slashed .381/.462/.787 (his total season line was .331/.399/.601).
In the other dugout, San Diego’s pitchers have allowed 4.8 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.73 ERA, 1.55 WHIP and 7.99 K/9. The bullpen has an outstanding ERA of just 2.79, along with a K-per-9 of 10.19.
Padres hitters have slashed .219/.289/.364 on their way to 3.7 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.1 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.0 per game over the team’s last five outings (1-4 SU).
Third baseman Christian Villanueva and first baseman Eric Hosmer have led San Diego’s hitters. Villanueva is hitting .355/.444/.774 with seven home runs, 16 RBIs and 13 runs scored, while Hosmer is hitting .241/.323/.398 with two homers, four RBIs and 10 runs scored.
The Padres have lost 3.9 units and are 6-8 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has cashed in five of those games, compared to seven that’ve hit the under in such games. On the other hand, the Rockies have netted 4.7 units and are 7-6 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s cashed in seven of those games, compared to six that’ve gone under.
San Diego Padres at Colorado Rockies Free MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Rockies, ATS Winner – Padres, O/U – OVER
Notes
Betting Trends
The Padres have lost five of their last six games SU.
Colorado has posted 18.0 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 20.2 over its last five.
The Padres have hit eight home runs in their last 10 games. The Rockies have hit 13 over their last 10.
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