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San Diego Padres at Colorado Rockies Free Preview 04/11/18

Jake Roth-USA TODAY Sports

The Colorado Rockies will try to avoid dropping their fourth consecutive game they play host to the San Diego Padres at Coors Field. The game will begin at 3:10 p.m. ET and the matchup will be shown on both ATRM and FSSD.

San Diego Padres at Colorado Rockies Odds

San Diego (+150) is hosting this one as the underdog against Colorado (-160) and oddsmakers have set the Over/Under for this afternoon game at 11 runs (-120 for the over and +100 for the under). Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the most recent odds coming in at Padres +1.5 runs (-145) and Rockies +-1.5 runs (+125).

The Padres are 4-8 SU and have gone 5-6 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 3.0 units for moneyline gamblers this year and 3.0 units ATS. San Diego has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven. The Rockies are 5-7 SU and 5-6 ATS. The team’s lost 2.5 units for moneyline bettors and 0.1 units ATS. Colorado has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the total has gone under in three of those seven.

Rockies games have an over/under record of 6-4-1 so far in 2018. The Padres have an over/under record of 5-5-1.

The Padres have lost 1.9 units and are 4-4 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in three of those games, compared to four that’ve gone under against righties. On the other hand, the Rockies have netted 0.8 units and are 2-3 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has cashed in three of those games, compared to two that went under the total.

Right-hander Luis Perdomo (1-1, 6.00 ERA) will get the start for the visiting Padres. Perdomo started 29 games last year while finishing the season 8-11 overall with a 4.67 ERA and a 1.51 WHIP. He made three starts against Colorado in 2017 and compiled a 0-2 record against the Rockies with a 6.75 ERA and nine strikeouts.

The Rockies will put the ball in the hands of righty German Marquez (0-1, 6.52 ERA), who recorded 147 strikeouts across 162 innings last year (with 49 walks). Marquez finished the season 11-7 overall with a 4.39 ERA and a 1.38 WHIP. He recorded three starts against San Diego a year ago and compiled a 2-1 record with a 5.94 ERA and 21 strikeouts.

As a unit, Colorado’s pitchers have given up 4.9 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starting pitching staff has a 5.23 ERA, 1.58 WHIP and 8.1 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.30 ERA, 1.11 WHIP and 7.8 K/9. In nine games against divisional opponents, Rockies starters have an ERA of 4.93 and the bullpen’s ERA is 5.01.

The Colorado offense is putting up 3.8 runs per contest, including 4.3 per game against divisional foes and 2.8 per game over its last five. The team has hit .212/.278/.400 over its last five matchups and is 1-4 SU during that span.

The Rockies’ batters have been led by outfielder Charlie Blackmon and third baseman Nolan Arenado. Blackmon is slashing .282/.391/.641 with 11 hits, six RBIs and nine runs scored, while Arenado is batting .318 with 14 hits, six RBIs and five runs.

Blackmon performed well against right-handed pitching at home last season, slashing .381/.462/.787 across 234 such plate appearances (compared to his total season line of .331/.399/.601).

In the other dugout, San Diego’s pitchers have allowed 4.2 runs per game and its starters own a 4.34 ERA, 1.46 WHIP and 6.99 K/9. The bullpen has managed an excellent ERA of just 2.14, along with a WHIP of 1.46 and a K-per-9 of 9.71.

Padres hitters have slashed .237/.306/.397 on their way to 3.5 runs scored per game this year, including 4.5 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.4 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).

Shortstop Freddy Galvis and first baseman Eric Hosmer have led San Diego’s hitters. Galvis is hitting .350/.458/.500 with 14 hits, five RBIs and three runs scored, while Hosmer is slashing .319/.407/.447 with 15 hits, two RBIs and five runs scored.

San Diego Padres at Colorado Rockies Free MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Rockies, ATS Winner – Padres, O/U – OVER

Notes

Betting Trends

The Padres have hit 11 home runs in their last 10 games. The Rockies have hit 12 over their last 10.

Colorado has recorded 17.9 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 16.8 over its last five.

The Rockies have lost four of their last five games SU

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Written by GMS Previews

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