The San Diego Padres are set to face their NL West foe Colorado Rockies at Coors Field. The first pitch is scheduled for 8:40 p.m. ET and the matchup will be televised on ATRM and FSSD.
San Diego Padres at Colorado Rockies Odds
San Diego (+210) is entering this one as the underdog against Colorado (-230) and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this one at 10.5 runs (-115 for the over and -105 for the under). Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the odds coming in at Padres +1.5 runs (-105) and Rockies -1.5 runs (-115).
The Rockies are 68-57 straight up (SU) and 66-58 against the spread (ATS). The team has gained 14.6 units for moneyline bettors and 7.3 units (ATS). Colorado has covered the spread six times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven. On the other hand, the Padres have gone 50-78 SU this year and are 59-68 ATS. Overall, the team’s lost 15.4 units for moneyline bettors and 29.3 units ATS. San Diego’s covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven.
Rockies games have a 54-64-6 over/under record in 2018. The Padres have an over/under record of 61-61-5.
Jacob Nix is getting the nod for the visiting Padres. The right-handed Nix (1-1, 6.75 ERA) has recorded five punchouts in 6.2 innings so far. He has yet to face the Rockies this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.
The Rockies are preparing to start righty Jon Gray (9-7, 4.76 ERA), who has 157 strikeouts and 38 walks to his name, as well as a 1.29 WHIP. Gray is 2-1 with 24 strikeouts and a 3.50 ERA over three starts against San Diego this year.
Colorado’s pitchers have given up 4.8 runs per game overall this year as a unit. Its starting pitching staff has a 4.30 ERA, 1.29 WHIP and 8.4 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 5.07 ERA, 1.42 WHIP and 8.9 K/9. In 51 games against divisional opponents, Rockies starters have an ERA of 4.26 and the bullpen’s ERA is 5.57.
The Colorado hitters are putting up 4.7 runs per outing, including 4.9 per game against divisional foes and 5.6 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .268/.320/.426 over its last five matchups and is 4-1 SU during that stretch.
Third baseman Nolan Arenado and shortstop Trevor Story have led the way for the Rockies’ offense this year. Arenado is hitting .309/.391/.577 with 30 home runs, 87 RBIs and 80 runs scored, while Story’s line is .291/.347/.549 with 26 homers, 84 RBIs, 65 runs and 17 stolen bases.
In the visiting dugout, San Diego’s pitching staff allowed 4.8 runs per game and its starters own a 5.19 ERA, 1.49 WHIP and 7.40 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.45, along with a WHIP of 1.49 and a K-per-9 of 9.96.
Padres hitters have slashed .235/.301/.375 on their way to 3.8 runs scored per game this season, including 3.7 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.8 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).
San Diego’s offensive production has been led by first baseman Eric Hosmer and shortstop Freddy Galvis. Hosmer is slashing .261/.325/.405 with 13 home runs, 54 RBIs and 58 runs scored, while Galvis (.235/.293/.361) has produced 10 homers, 53 RBIs and 46 runs scored.
The Padres have lost 4.3 units and are 46-43 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 40 of those games, compared to 46 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Rockies have netted 6.4 units and are 37-41 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 38 of those games, as opposed to 37 that’ve cashed the under.
San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies MLB Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Rockies, ATS Winner – Padres, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Trends
The over has hit in only two of Colorado’s last seven games.
San Diego fielders have eight errors over the last 10 games, compared to three errors for Colorado over its last 10.
Each team has hit 11 home runs over its last 10 games.
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