The San Diego Padres will play the Miami Marlins at Marlins Park. Fox Sports San Diego will broadcast this NL showdown and the game is scheduled to get going at 1:10 p.m. ET.
San Diego Padres vs. Miami Marlins Odds
San Diego (+105) is the underdog against Miami (-115) and oddsmakers have put the Over/Under for this day game at 7.5 runs (+100 for the over and -120 for the under). Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the current odds sitting at Padres +1.5 runs (-200) and Marlins -1.5 runs (+170).
The Padres are 30-36 SU and are 33-32 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 0.4 units for gamblers taking the moneyline and 6.8 units ATS. San Diego has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven. The Marlins, on the other hand, are 23-41 SU and 31-32 ATS. They’ve lost 3.6 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 8.3 units ATS. Miami has a 3-4 ATS record over its last seven outings and the over has hit in four of those seven.
Neither team has been a strong over/under play this season. Marlins games have had an over/under record of 31-32 so far in 2018. The Padres have an over/under record of 32-31-2.
Clayton Richard will get the start for the visiting Padres. The southpaw Richard is 4-6 with a 4.67 ERA and 66 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with five strikeouts and a 2.57 ERA against Miami this year.
The Marlins will send righty Jose Urena (1-7, 4.60 ERA) to the mound. Urena has 61 strikeouts and 18 walks to his credit, as well as a 1.24 WHIP. Urena is 0-0 with six strikeouts and a 1.50 ERA against San Diego this year.
As a unit, Miami’s pitching staff has allowed 5.1 runs per game overall this season. The team’s starters have a 4.55 ERA, 1.33 WHIP and 7.7 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 5.41 ERA, 1.53 WHIP and 8.5 K/9.
Miami’s offense has produced 3.5 runs per contest, including 3.6 per game over its last 10 games and 5.4 per game over its last five. The team has hit .259/.355/.443 over its last five matchups and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.
Third baseman Brian Anderson and second baseman Starlin Castro have led the Marlins’ offense this year. Anderson is slashing .307/.379/.427 with three home runs, 30 RBIs and 33 runs scored, and Castro’s line sits at .293/.338/.407 with three homers, 24 RBIs and 39 runs scored.
In the visiting dugout, San Diego’s pitchers have allowed 4.6 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 5.02 ERA, 1.52 WHIP and 8.16 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.24, along with a WHIP of 1.52.
Padres hitters have slashed .234/.302/.375 on their way to 3.9 runs scored per game this year, including 4.7 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.0 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).
San Diego’s offensive production been led by outfielder Jose Pirela and first baseman Eric Hosmer. Pirela is slashing .277/.328/.356 with 70 hits, 19 RBIs and 37 runs scored, while Hosmer (.288/.373/.466) is up to 68 hits, seven homers, 28 RBIs and 32 runs scored.
The Padres have gained 1.1 units and are 25-19 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 19 of those games, compared to 23 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Marlins have lost 0.3 units and are 10-6 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in eight of those games, as opposed to eight that’ve gone under.
San Diego Padres at Miami Marlins MLB Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Marlins, ATS Winner – Padres, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Trends
Miami has recorded 20.2 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 23.4 over its last five.
The Padres have hit 10 home runs in their last 10 games, including six over their last five.
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