The San Diego Padres will make a road trip to Milwaukee to face the Brewers at Miller Park. Fox Sports Net Wisconsin will be televising this NL matchup and the game gets underway at 2:10 p.m. ET.
San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers Odds
Vegas is listing Milwaukee (-160) as the favorite over San Diego (+150). Bettors can wager on the game’s total with odds listed at -110 for over 9 runs and -110 for under 9. You can also bet on the game’s spread with the most recent runline odds coming in at Padres +1.5 runs (-145) and Brewers -1.5 runs (+125).
The Padres are 44-70 SU and have gone 54-61 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 12.5 units for moneyline gamblers and 26.1 units ATS. San Diego has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the under has hit in three of those seven. The Brewers, on the other hand, are 65-50 SU and 60-56 ATS. The team has gained 11.8 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 0.7 units ATS. Milwaukee has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven outings and the total has gone over in four of those seven.
Brewers games have had an over/under record of 53-59-4 in 2018. The Padres have an over/under record of 54-56-5.
Tyson Ross will get the nod for the visiting Padres. The right-handed Ross (6-9, 4.45 ERA) has racked up 107 strikeouts in 123.1 innings so far. He has yet to face the Brewers this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.
The Brewers are putting the ball in the hands of righty Junior Guerra (6-7, 3.42 ERA), who’s got 111 strikeouts and 46 walks to his name, as well as a 1.26 WHIP. Guerra only made one start against the Padres in 2017 (0-0, 4.50 ERA and three strikeouts across six innings).
San Diego’s pitchers have allowed 4.8 runs per game and its starters own a 5.08 ERA, 1.48 WHIP and 7.55 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.53, along with a WHIP of 1.48.
The Padres offense has slashed .233/.298/.369 on its way to 3.8 runs scored per game this year, including 4.3 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 5.2 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).
San Diego’s offensive production has been sparked by first baseman Eric Hosmer and shortstop Freddy Galvis. Hosmer is slashing .254/.322/.389 with 10 home runs, 46 RBIs and 49 runs scored. Galvis is hitting .237 with six homers, 42 RBIs and 37 runs scored.
In the other dugout, Milwaukee’s pitching staff has allowed 4.0 runs per game overall this season. The club’s starters have a 3.88 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and 7.8 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.60 ERA, 1.30 WHIP and 10.2 K/9.
Milwaukee’s offense is putting up 4.4 runs per outing, including 4.7 per game over its last 10 games and 5.2 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .240/.314/.469 over its last five games and is 2-3 SU during that span.
Outfielders Christian Yelich and Lorenzo Cain have led the Brewers’ batters this year. Yelich is slashing .326/.387/.542 with 17 home runs, 59 RBIs, 78 runs and 14 steals, and Cain’s line sits at .293/.389/.416 with eight homers, 30 RBIs, 55 runs and 19 stolen bases.
The Padres have lost 3.4 units and are 41-38 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over’s hit in 35 of those games, compared to 41 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers.
San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers Free MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Brewers, ATS Winner – Padres, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Notes
The over has hit in only two of San Diego’s last seven games.
Milwaukee has recorded 22.5 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 22.0 over its last five.
The Padres have hit 11 home runs in their last 10 games, including six over their last five.
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