The Pittsburgh Pirates are playing host to the San Diego Padres at PNC Park. The opening pitch is scheduled for 1:35 p.m. ET and this NL matchup will be shown on ATPT and FSSD.
San Diego Padres at Pittsburgh Pirates Odds
San Diego (+130) is coming into this one as the underdog against Pittsburgh (-140) and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this afternoon game at 8 runs. Odds for betting on the game’s total stand at -105 for the over and -115 for the under. You can also bet on the game’s runline with the most recent odds sitting at -170 for the Padres +1.5 runs and +150 for the Pirates -1.5 runs.
The Pirates are 26-19 SU and 22-22 ATS. They’ve gained 6.3 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 1.4 units against the spread (ATS). Pittsburgh has covered the spread only twice in its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven. The Padres have gone 19-28 SU this year and are 22-24 ATS. Overall, the team’s lost 5.0 units for bettors taking the moneyline in the season’s early going and 8.9 units ATS. San Diegohas covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven.
Pittsburgh games have had an over/under record of 22-17-5 so far in 2018. San Diego has an over/under record of 20-24-2.
The right-handed Jordan Lyles is the projected starter for the visiting Padres. Lyles is 1-1 with a 2.53 ERA and 32 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Pirates this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.
The Pirates are sending righty Trevor Williams (5-2, 2.72 ERA) to the mound. Williams has 35 strikeouts and 20 walks to his name, as well as a WHIP of 1.13. Williams did not record a start against the Padres in 2017.
As a unit, Pittsburgh’s pitching staff has allowed 4.3 runs per game overall this season. The team’s starting pitching staff has a 4.13 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 7.3 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.81 ERA, 1.37 WHIP and 10.0 K/9.
The Pittsburgh hitters are putting up 4.9 runs per contest, including 5.2 per game over its last 10 games and 3.8 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .244/.339/.388 over its last five matchups and is 3-2 SU during that span.
The Pirates’ hitters have been led by right fielder Starling Marte and catcher Francisco Cervelli. Marte is hitting .308/.366/.503 with six home runs, 19 RBIs, 30 runs and 10 stolen bases, and Cervelli is hitting .286 with six homers, 24 RBIs and 16 runs.
Marte enjoyed hitting against righty pitching at home last season, slashing .374/.447/.565 across 132 such plate appearances (his total season line was .275/.333/.379).
In the visiting dugout, San Diego’s pitching staff allowed 4.6 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.83 ERA, 1.50 WHIP and 8.32 K/9. The bullpen has a solid ERA of just 3.08, along with a K/9 of 9.70.
The Padres offense has slashed .229/.300/.367 on its way to 3.8 runs scored per game in 2018, including 3.6 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.2 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).
San Diego’s offense has been powered by first baseman Eric Hosmer and third baseman Christian Villanueva, who collectively have swatted 17 home runs. Hosmer is slashing .270/.370/.491 with six home runs, 20 RBIs and 23 runs scored, while Villanueva (.242/.317/.547) is up to 11 homers, 24 RBIs and 19 runs scored.
The Padres have lost 4.7 units and are 16-15 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 12 of those games, compared to 17 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Pirates have netted 4.3 units and are 18-17 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 15 of those games, compared to 15 which went under the total.
San Diego Padres vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Pirates, ATS Winner – Padres, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Notes
The Padres have hit six home runs in their last 10 games, including four over their last five.
Pittsburgh has recorded 23.6 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 19.4 over its last five.
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