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San Diego Padres – Miami Marlins Preview – 08.28.2016

Luis Perdomo (6-7, 6.24 ERA) and the San Diego Padres (54-75) are in Miami to go up against Justin Nicolino (2-5, 5.57 ERA) and the Marlins (67-62) in a matchup that has the potential for plenty of offense. This is the last of a three-game series at Marlins Park. The Padres won the last game 1-0, and the series is currently tied 1-1. The game gets underway at 1:10 p.m. ET on Sunday, Aug. 28 and will air on FSFL and FSSD.

In his most recent outing, Nicolino pitched 4.0 innings, giving up four runs, striking out two and walking one in a 4-2 loss to the Mets. Giancarlo Stanton (.244, 52 Rs, 25 HRs, 70 RBIs) continued his strong season yesterday, going 3 for 5 with one run, one home run, and three RBIs. The Padres were victorious over the Diamondbacks 9-1 the last time Perdomo pitched. He went 7.0 innings, allowing one runs (one unearned) and striking out five.

Miami is a -177 favorite in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is set at eight runs. The Marlins are 32-32 as the favorite and have an overall money line of +181. Miami has averaged 3.0 runs per game over the last 10 games, lower than its season average of 4.2. The most recent 10 game stretch for Miami’s pitching staff has gone great. Over that span, Miami’s opponents are averaging 2.9 runs per game, below their season average of 4.1. The Marlins are fourth in the NL in hits allowed with just 8.3 per game. They have been extremely effective at striking opposing batters out, averaging 8.7 strikeouts per game.

Across the field, the Padres have a subpar record of 40-68 when they are the underdog and are -315 overall with the money line. Over the past 10 matchups, the team is 4-6 SU and has played poorly as the underdog with a 2-6 record. San Diego is a terror on the base paths, ranking third in the MLB with 107 stolen bases.

In their previous five games this season, the Marlins have a 3-2 record. This game will feature Perdomo (RHP) on the mound against the Marlins, who have a 46-53 record when they take on a right-handed starter. Taking the hill against the Padres will be the right-hander Nicolino. They sport a 39-57 record against righties.

Predictions: SU Winner – MIA, O/U – Over

Notes

San Diego earned its eighth shutout of the season in its last game. Miami has been shut out 10 times this season.

The Marlins didn’t score any runs in their last game. The Padres have an 8-0 record when they don’t allow any runs.

When they are outhit, the Padres are 12-56. The Marlins have a 9-38 record when opponents outhit them.

Ranking 28th in home runs, Miami has hit 106 this season. San Diego ranks 17th with 148 home runs.

Ranking 15th, San Diego is in the top half of the league in hits, notching 7.98 per game. Miami ranks in the top five at second with 9.36.

Ranking 28th, San Diego is near the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.699). Miami ranks in the bottom half at 18th with an OPS of .733.

The Padres are 27-54 in games where they allow one or more home runs. The Marlins are 29-38 when they allow at least one homer.

Written by GMS Previews

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