The San Diego Padres will play the Pittsburgh Pirates at PNC Park. The first pitch is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET and this NL matchup will be televised on either ATPT or FSSD.
San Diego Padres vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Odds
Pittsburgh (-120) is the favorite over San Diego (+110) and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this game at eight runs (+105 for the over and -125 for the under). Runline odds stand at -190 for betting the Padres +1.5 runs and +165 for the Pirates -1.5 runs.
The Padres are only 17-28 SU and have gone 20-24 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 5.1 units for moneyline gamblers in this young season and 10.9 units ATS. San Diego’s covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven. The Pirates, on the other hand, are 26-17 SU and 22-20 ATS. The team’s gained 6.6 units for moneyline bettors and 3.5 units ATS. Pittsburgh has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven outings and the over has cashed in four of those seven.
Pittsburgh games have an over/under record of 21-16-5 so far in 2018. San Diego has an over/under record of 19-23-2.
Right-hander Tyson Ross will get the start for the visiting Padres. Ross is 2-3 with a 3.40 ERA and 53 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Pirates this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.
The Pirates are handing the ball to righty Ivan Nova (2-3, 5.01 ERA), who has 39 punchouts and eight walks to his name, as well as a 1.35 WHIP. Nova made two starts against the Padres in 2017, compiling a 0-1 record with a 4.09 ERA and 11 strikeouts.
San Diego’s pitching staff allowed 4.7 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.95 ERA, 1.52 WHIP and 8.65 K/9. The bullpen has logged a solid ERA of just 3.16, along with a K-per-9 of 9.70.
The Padres offense has slashed .229/.301/.365 on its way to 3.7 runs scored per game in 2018, including 3.2 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 3.8 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).
San Diego’s offense has been led by first baseman Eric Hosmer and third baseman Christian Villanueva, who have combined to blast 16 home runs. Hosmer is slashing .269/.367/.487 with six home runs, 19 RBIs and 20 runs scored, while Villanueva is hitting .234 with 10 homers, 22 RBIs and 18 runs scored.
For the home team, Pittsburgh’s pitching staff has yielded 4.3 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starting pitching staff has a 4.15 ERA, 1.26 WHIP and 7.3 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.84 ERA, 1.37 WHIP and 10.0 K/9.
The Pittsburgh hitters have put up 5.0 runs per contest, including 6.0 per game over its last 10 games and 4.2 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .245/.354/.419 over its last five games and is 4-1 SU during that span.
Catcher Francisco Cervelli and right fielder Starling Marte have led the Pirates’ batters so far. Cervelli is hitting .296/.418/.556 with six home runs, 24 RBIs and 16 runs scored, and Marte’s line sits at .308/.366/.503 with six homers, 19 RBIs, 30 runs and 10 stolen bases.
Marte enjoyed hitting against righty pitching at home last year, slashing .374/.447/.565 across 132 such plate appearances (his total season line was .275/.333/.379).
The Padres have lost 4.8 units and are 14-15 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 11 of those games, compared to 16 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Pirates have netted 5.5 units and are 18-16 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 15 of those games, compared to 14 that’ve gone under.
San Diego Padres vs. Pittsburgh Pirates MLB Tip
Predictions: SU Winner – Pirates, ATS Winner – Padres, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Notes
The Pirates have won eight of their last nine games SU.
Pittsburgh has posted 24.6 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 19.4 over its last five.
The Padres have hit four home runs in their last 10 games. The Pirates have hit 14 over their last 10.
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