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San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Free Pick 04/22/18

Jeff Curry-USA TODAY Sports

The Arizona Diamondbacks are squaring off against the San Diego Padres at Chase Field. The matchup will begin at 4:10 p.m. ET and fans looking to watch it can tune in to Fox Sports Arizona.

San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Odds

Arizona (-170) is the favorite over San Diego (+160) and Vegas has the Over/Under for this day game at 8 runs (-110 for the over and -110 for the under). Gamblers can also bet on the game’s runline with the current odds sitting at Padres +1.5 runs (-135) and Diamondbacks +-1.5 runs (+115).

The Diamondbacks are 14-6 SU and 10-9 ATS. They’ve gained 7.8 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 1.4 units against the spread (ATS). The Padres are 8-14 SU and have gone 9-12 ATS. Overall, the team’s lost 2.5 units for moneyline gamblers through the early portions of the year and 5.5 units ATS.

Arizona games have an over/under record of 9-10 so far in 2018. San Diego has an over/under record of 10-10-1.

Joey Lucchesi is getting the nod for the visiting Padres. The southpaw Lucchesi is 2-0 with a 1.66 ERA and 25 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Diamondbacks this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.

The Diamondbacks are putting the ball in the left hand of Patrick Corbin (3-0, 1.65 ERA, 0.70 WHIP), who has 37 strikeouts and five walks. Corbin made five starts against the team in 2017, putting together a 2-3 record in 2017, compiling a 2-3 record with a 6.11 ERA.

As a unit, Arizona’s pitching staff has allowed 3.1 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starters have an ERA of 3.28, a WHIP of 1.10 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 10.1. The bullpen has a solid ERA of just 1.96, a WHIP of 1.06 and a K/9 of 8.6. In 17 games against divisional foes, Diamondbacks starters have an ERA of 3.20 and the bullpen’s ERA is 2.25.

Arizona’s offense is putting up 4.5 runs per outing, including 4.8 per game against divisional foes and 2.8 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .200/.279/.355 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that span.

Paul Goldschmidt has helped lead the Diamondbacks’ offense this year with four home runs, 11 RBIs and 15 runs scored. Goldschmidt seemed to enjoy hitting lefty pitching at home in 2017, slashing .313/.483/.641 across 87 such plate appearances (his total season line was .298/.405/.560).

In the other dugout, San Diego’s pitching staff allowed 4.8 runs per game and its starters own a 4.62 ERA, 1.54 WHIP and 8.03 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 2.88, along with a WHIP of 1.54 and a K/9 of 10.32.

The Padres offense has slashed .224/.296/.370 on its way to 3.7 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.2 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.2 per game over the team’s last five contests (1-4 SU).

San Diego’s offense has been paced by Christian Villanueva, who is hitting .345/.441/.724 with six home runs, 14 RBIs and 12 runs scored.

The Diamondbacks are looking for another victory following a 6-2 win in the prior game of the series.

San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks MLB Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Diamondbacks, ATS Winner – Padres, O/U – OVER

Notes

Betting Notes

The over has cashed in five of San Diego’s last seven games.

The Padres have hit nine home runs in their last 10 games. The Diamondbacks have hit 13 over their last 10.

Arizona has recorded 18.4 runs + hits + errors per game over its last 10 outings and 15.2 over its last five.

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