The San Diego Padres will play the Atlanta Braves at SunTrust Park. Fox Sports San Diego will be televising this NL showdown. The game is scheduled to get underway at 7:35 p.m. ET.
San Diego Padres vs. Atlanta Braves Odds
Atlanta (-135) is favored over San Diego (+125) and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this game at 8.5 runs (-120 for the over and +100 for the under). Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the most recent runline odds sitting at -170 for the Padres +1.5 runs and +150 for the Braves -1.5.
The Braves are 40-28 straight up (SU) and 37-29 against the spread (ATS). The team has gained 16.1 units for moneyline bettors and 6.1 units (ATS). Atlanta has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven. The Padres are 33-38 SU and have gone 36-34 ATS. In total, the team’s accumulated 4.1 units for gamblers taking the moneyline, but have lost 6.2 units ATS. San Diego’s covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has cashed in six of those seven.
Neither team has positioned itself as a strong over/under bet this season. Braves games have an over/under record of 31-32-3 so far in 2018. The Padres have an over/under record of 33-35-2.
Clayton Richard will get the nod for the visiting Padres. The southpaw Richard (5-6, 4.40 ERA) has recorded 71 punchouts in 88 innings so far. He’s 1-0 with five strikeouts and a 3.86 ERA against Atlanta this year.
The Braves will send righty Brandon McCarthy (5-3, 5.03 ERA) to the mound. McCarthy has 56 strikeouts and 20 walks to his credit, as well as a WHIP of 1.49. McCarthy has yet to face the Padres this year and only made one start against them in 2017 (1-0, 2.57 ERA and six strikeouts across seven innings).
San Diego’s pitching staff allowed 4.5 runs per game and its starters own a 4.89 ERA, 1.48 WHIP and 7.96 K/9. The bullpen has a solid ERA of just 3.15, along with a K-per-9 of 9.32.
The Padres offense has slashed .233/.299/.373 on its way to 3.8 runs scored per game in 2018, including 3.5 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 3.0 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).
First baseman Eric Hosmer and outfielder Jose Pirela have paced San Diego’s hitters. Hosmer is slashing .289/.368/.480 with nine home runs, 33 RBIs and 34 runs scored, while Pirela (.277/.326/.352) has produced zero homers, 19 RBIs and 38 runs scored.
In the other dugout, Atlanta’s pitchers have yielded 3.9 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starters have an ERA of 3.35, a WHIP of 1.25 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.5. The bullpen has a 3.88 ERA, 1.33 WHIP and 9.3 K/9.
The Atlanta offense has produced 4.9 runs per contest, including 4.7 per game over its last 10 games and 4.2 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .267/.305/.455 over its last five matchups and is 4-1 SU during that span.
First baseman Freddie Freeman and right fielder Nick Markakis have led the way for the Braves’ offense this year. Freeman is slashing .342/.433/.588 with 14 home runs, 48 RBIs, 45 runs and six stolen bases, and Markakis has put up a line of .325/.386/.487 with eight homers, 44 RBIs and 41 runs.
The Padres have gained 5.6 units and are 28-21 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has cashed in 20 of those games, compared to 27 that’ve hit the under against righty starters. On the other hand, the Braves have netted 4.2 units and are 9-12 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over has hit in 12 of those games, compared to nine that went under the total.
San Diego Padres at Atlanta Braves MLB Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Braves, ATS Winner – Padres, O/U – UNDER
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Notes
Betting Trends
San Diego has logged 12 extra-base hits over its last five contests. Atlanta has 18 XBH over its last five.
Atlanta has recorded 22.3 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 21.8 over its last five.
The Padres have hit nine home runs in their last 10 games. The Braves have hit 13 over their last 10.
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