The San Diego Padres will face the Chicago Cubs at Wrigley Field. NBC Sports Chicago will be airing this NL showdown and the game is slated to get underway at 2:20 p.m. ET.
San Diego Padres vs. Chicago Cubs Odds
The Cubs are 62-46 straight up (SU) and 56-52 against the spread (ATS). The team hasn’t moved the needle a lot for gamblers, losing 0.6 units for moneyline bettors while gaining 4.4 units (ATS). Chicago has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven. The Padres, on the other hand, have gone 43-68 SU this year and are 50-61 ATS. Overall, the team’s lost 13.8 units for moneyline gamblers and 30.1 units ATS. San Diego has covered the spread just twice over its last seven games and the over has cashed in four of those seven.
Cubs games have a 51-56-1 over/under record in 2018. Padres games have gone under 55 times, gone over 52 times and pushed on four occasions.
Joey Lucchesi will get the nod for the visiting Padres. The southpaw Lucchesi is 5-6 with a 3.74 ERA and 78 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Cubs this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.
The Cubs are planning to start righty Kyle Hendricks (7-9, 3.97 ERA), who has 103 punchouts and 34 walks, as well as a WHIP of 1.22. Hendricks is 1-0 with three strikeouts and a 3.60 ERA in one start against San Diego this year.
As a unit, Chicago’s pitching staff has given up 4.1 runs per game overall in 2018. The team’s starters have a 4.11 ERA, 1.39 WHIP and 7.6 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.28 ERA, 1.29 WHIP and 8.7 K/9.
Chicago’s offense is putting up 5.0 runs per contest, including 3.4 per game over its last 10 games and 4.2 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .260/.342/.420 over its last five games and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.
Second baseman Javier Baez and first baseman Anthony Rizzo have led the Cubs’ hitters this year. Baez is hitting .296/.329/.567 with 22 home runs, 83 RBIs, 67 runs and 19 stolen bases, while Rizzo’s line sits at .257/.357/.429 with 15 homers, 70 RBIs and 45 runs.
For the visiting squad, San Diego’s pitching staff allowed 4.7 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 5.06 ERA, 1.47 WHIP and 7.49 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.50, along with a WHIP of 1.47 and a K-per-9 of 9.61.
Padres hitters have slashed .232/.297/.365 on their way to 3.7 runs scored per game in 2018, including 3.1 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 3.8 per game over the team’s last five contests (1-4 SU).
First baseman Eric Hosmer and shortstop Freddy Galvis continue to lead San Diego’s offense. Hosmer is slashing .252/.320/.386 with 10 home runs, 44 RBIs and 47 runs scored. Galvis is hitting .239/.296/.344 with five homers, 41 RBIs and 35 runs scored.
The Padres have lost 4.1 units and are 39-38 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in 34 of those games, as opposed to 40 that’ve hit the under in such games. On the other hand, the Cubs have netted 6.7 units and are 15-11 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 11 of those games, compared to 15 that’ve gone under.
San Diego Padres vs. Chicago Cubs Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Cubs, ATS Winner – Padres, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Notes
The under has cashed in just two of San Diego’s last seven games.
Chicago has posted 19.0 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 21.8 over its last five.
The Padres have hit six home runs in their last 10 games. The Cubs have hit 10 over their last 10.
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