The San Diego Padres will be facing off against the Cincinnati Reds at Great American Ball Park. Fox Sports San Diego will be showing this NL showdown and the action gets going at 4:10 p.m. ET.
San Diego Padres at Cincinnati Reds Odds
Vegas has listed San Diego (+115) as the underdog to Cincinnati (-125). Bettors are able to wager on the game’s total with odds sitting at -105 for over 9 runs and -115 for under 9. Runline odds stand at -180 for picking the Padres +1.5 runs and +160 for the Reds -1.5.
The Padres have gone 56-87 SU this year and are 68-74 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 13.7 units for gamblers taking the moneyline and 26.9 units ATS. San Diego has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in six of those seven. The Reds, on the other hand, are 60-82 SU and 79-62 ATS. They’ve lost 11.2 units for moneyline bettors while earning 2.3 units ATS. Cincinnati has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven outings and the under has cashed in four of those seven.
Reds games have an over/under record of 72-65-4 in 2018. San Diego has an over/under record of 66-71-5.
The southpaw Robbie Erlin is the probable starter for the visiting Padres. Erlin is 3-5 with a 3.87 ERA and 75 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with a 6.75 ERA against Cincinnati this year.
The Reds will turn to righty Matt Harvey (6-8, 4.95 ERA), who’s got 104 strikeouts and 31 walks as well as a 1.32 WHIP. Harvey is 0-1 with three strikeouts and a 6.43 ERA in one start against San Diego this year.
San Diego’s pitchers have allowed 4.8 runs per game and its starters own a 5.09 ERA, 1.47 WHIP and 7.37 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 3.59, along with a K-per-9 of 10.04.
Padres hitters have slashed .235/.298/.378 on their way to 3.8 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.3 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.2 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).
First baseman Eric Hosmer and shortstop Freddy Galvis continue to lead San Diego’s offense. Hosmer is slashing .252/.318/.392 with 14 home runs, 59 RBIs and 64 runs scored, while Galvis has a .237 average with 11 homers, 58 RBIs and 51 runs scored.
In the home-team dugout, Cincinnati’s pitchers have given up 5.2 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starting pitching staff has a 5.21 ERA, 1.44 WHIP and 7.6 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.18 ERA, 1.40 WHIP and 8.0 K/9.
Cincinnati’s hitters are putting up 4.5 runs per contest, including 4.8 per game over its last 10 games and 4.0 per game over their last five. The team has hit .240/.306/.419 over its last five contests and is 1-4 SU during that span.
The Reds’ batters have been led by second baseman Scooter Gennett and shortstop Jose Peraza. Gennett is hitting .317/.364/.507 with 22 home runs, 84 RBIs and 82 runs scored, while Peraza’s line sits at .289/.329/.408 with 10 homers, 49 RBIs, 74 runs and 20 stolen bases.
The Padres have gained 2.0 units and are 52-45 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 41 of those games, compared to 53 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Reds have netted 2.4 units and are 23-15 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 21 of those games, as opposed to 16 which went under the total.
San Diego Padres vs. Cincinnati Reds Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Reds, ATS Winner – Padres, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Notes
Each teams has recorded 12 extra-base hits over its last five games.
San Diego has posted 20.1 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 19.0 over its last five.
The Padres have hit 16 home runs in their last 10 games. The Reds have hit 17 over their last 10.
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