James Shields (8-4, 3.75 ERA) and the San Diego Padres (54-60) go up against Raisel Iglesias (2-4, 4.72 ERA) and the Cincinnati Reds (49-62) in the last of a three-game series at Petco Park. The Padres won the last game 11-6 and San Diego leads the series 2-0. The game starts at 3:40 p.m. ET on Wednesday, Aug. 12 and will air on FSOH and FSSD.
In his most recent outing, Shields pitched 6.2 innings, allowing three runs, striking out eight and walking one in a 4-3 loss to the Phillies. Yangervis Solarte (.270, 39 Rs, 7 HRs, 41 RBIs, 1 SB) played well again yesterday, going 2 for 4 with three runs. The Reds were unsuccessful the last time Iglesias pitched. He had a good outing, pitching 6.0 innings, giving up one run, striking out six and walking one in a 2-0 loss to the Diamondbacks. Todd Frazier (.260, 63 Rs, 28 HRs, 70 RBIs, 10 SBs) has been doing well, going 3 for 4 yesterday with one run, one home run, and two RBIs.
San Diego is a -137 favorite in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is seven runs. The Padres are 27-23 as the favorite and have an overall money line of -896. They are 1-3 as the favorite over their last 10 games. The Padres don’t give up many hits to opposing batters at Petco Park, ranking fifth in the NL with only 8.4 hits allowed per home game.
On the other side, the Reds have a subpar record of 22-41 when they are the underdog and are -1,179 overall with the money line. They have played poorly as the underdog as of late. They managed a 3-7 record when playing as the underdog and an SU record of 3-7. During the last 10 games, they averaged 2.2 runs per game, below their 3.9 season average. The Reds have racked up 106 steals on the year, making them the most threatening base-running team in the league. The last 10 games have really brought the best out of the Cincinnati pitchers. They’ve allowed 2.9 runs per game during that span, which is lower than their season average of 4.3. They also allow just 8.0 hits per road game, good for third in the NL.
In their previous five games this season, the Padres have a 4-1 record. The Padres will take on a right-hander (Iglesias) in this game and have a 40-49 record against right-handed starting pitchers this season. The right-handed Shields will take the mound against the Reds, who have a 37-47 record against righty starters this season.
Predictions: SU Winner – SD, O/U – Over
Notes
When leading after 7 innings, San Diego is 27-24, while Cincinnati is 17-25.
The Reds managed to give up five walks in their last game. They’ll have to pick it up against the Padres who are heading in with a 10-5 record against opponents who give up that many walks or more.
When they are outhit, the Reds are 8-41. The Padres have a 9-43 record when opponents outhit them.
Ranking 21st in home runs, San Diego has hit 98 this season. Cincinnati ranks ninth with 120 home runs.
Ranking 13th, San Diego is in the top half of the league in hits, notching 8.12 per game. Cincinnati ranks in the top 10 at eighth with 8.55.
Ranking 30th, San Diego is at the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.670). Cincinnati ranks in the top half at 13th with an OPS of .714.
The Reds are 20-47 in games where they allow one or more home runs. The Padres are 31-41 when they allow at least one homer.
