Tyson Ross (10-10, 3.21 ERA) and the San Diego Padres (67-73) meet Jorge De La Rosa (9-6, 4.24 ERA) and the Colorado Rockies (57-82) in the last of a four-game division series at Petco Park. The Padres won the last game 11-4 and San Diego leads the series 2-1. The game gets underway at 3:40 p.m. ET on Thursday, Sep. 10 and will air on RTRM and FSSD.
In his most recent outing, Ross pitched 6.0 innings, allowing one run, striking out three and walking two in a 2-0 loss to the Dodgers. Matt Kemp (.269, 70 Rs, 20 HRs, 93 RBIs, 11 SBs) continued his strong season yesterday, going 2 for 5 with two runs, one home run, and two RBIs. The Rockies were victorious over the Giants 2-1 the last time De La Rosa pitched. He went 7.0 innings, giving up one run and striking out seven. Nolan Arenado (.288, 84 Rs, 37 HRs, 107 RBIs, 1 SB) has been hitting the ball well for the Rockies, going 2 for 4 yesterday.
San Diego is a -143 favorite in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is set at seven runs. When playing as the favorite, the Padres have a 35-30 record and overall money line at -993. They have a 28-28 record SU and are 16-10 as favorite within their division. The Padres don’t give up many hits to opposing batters at Petco Park, ranking fifth in the NL with only 8.3 hits allowed per home game. The have been extremely effective at striking opposing batters out at Petco Park, leading the NL with 9.1 strikeouts per home game.
On the other side, the Rockies have a subpar record of 40-61 when they are the underdog and are -1,553 overall with the money line. Against teams in their division, they are 23-36 SU and have played poorly as the underdog with a 17-27 record. They sport the top-ranked offense in the NL, averaging 4.5 runs per game.
The Padres had the upper hand against the Rockies in their previous 15 games this season, earning an 11-4 record. This game will feature De La Rosa (LHP) on the mound against the Padres, who have a 15-16 record when they take on a left-handed starter. The right-handed Ross will take the mound against the Rockies, who have a 52-58 record against righty starters this season.
Predictions: SU Winner – SD, O/U – Over
Notes
Colorado has won 42% (26-36) of its games when leading after 7 innings. However, San Diego has won 53% (36-32) of its games when taking a late lead.
The Rockies are coming into this game after allowing two walks during their last outing. The Padres have a 32-45 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
When they are outhit, the Rockies are 9-59. The Padres have a 9-52 record when opponents outhit them.
Ranking 18th in home runs, San Diego has hit 130 this season. Colorado ranks sixth with 163 home runs.
Ranking 14th, San Diego is in the top half of the league in hits, notching 8.30 per game. Colorado ranks in the top five at third with 9.20.
Ranking 26th, San Diego is near the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.694). Colorado ranks in the top five at second with an OPS of .759.
When the Rockies allow at least one home run, they are 29-63. When the Padres allow one or more homers, they have a 36-52 record.
