Brandon Morrow (0-0, 3.15 ERA) and Scott Baker (0-0, 0.00 ERA) take the hill in the last of a three-game series between the San Diego Padres (10-9) and the Los Angeles Dodgers (11-6) at Petco Park. The Dodgers won the last game 11-8 and Los Angeles leads the series 2-0. Action begins at 4:10 p.m. ET on Sunday, Apr. 26 and can be seen on SportsNet LA and FSN-SD.
Morrow pitched 6.0 innings in his most recent start, surrendering five runs, striking out three and walking one in a 7-6 defeat to the Rockies. Matt Kemp (.351, 15 Rs, 1 HR, 14 RBIs, 3 SBs) had another good game yesterday, going 2 for 4 with two runs and one stolen base. Baker is 2-0 with a 1.93 ERA against the Padres in his career. He takes on a good San Diego offense that’s batting .272. Adrian Gonzalez (.403, 17 Rs, 7 HRs, 18 RBIs) has been successful at the plate for the Dodgers, going 2 for 5 yesterday with three runs, one home run, and three RBIs.
The odds for San Diego and Los Angeles are even, while the Over/Under (O/U) is currently not available. Within its division, San Diego has a record of 8-8 SU. The Padres are one of the best in the MLB in terms of extra base hits with 63.
The Dodgers are 8-6 against fellow NL West members. The Dodgers have a dynamic offense, leading the league with 71 extra base hits. Los Angeles is excellent at drawing walks with an NL-best 4.0 per game. When it comes to issuing walks, the Dodgers have the third-fewest in the NL with an average of just 2.4 walks allowed per game. The Dodgers have established a reputation of overwhelming hitters with an NL-best 9.9 strikeouts per game.
The Dodgers lead the season series, 4-1. The Padres have a 6-8 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they’ll be facing when Baker takes the mound. Morrow (RHP) will be on the hill against the Dodgers, who have a 10-5 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner – LAD
Notes
San Diego is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games.
San Diego is 11-5 SU in its last 16 games at home.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Diego’s last 5 games when playing LA Dodgers.
San Diego is 1-5 SU in their last 6 games when playing LA Dodgers.
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of San Diego’s last 16 games when playing at home against LA Dodgers.
San Diego is 2-5 SU in their last 7 games when playing at home against LA Dodgers.
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of LA Dodgers’s last 16 games when playing on the road against San Diego.
San Diego has won 55% (6-5) of its games when leading after 7 innings. However, Los Angeles has won 57% (4-3) of its games when taking a late lead.
The Padres managed to give up five walks in their last game. They’ll have to pick it up against the Dodgers who are coming in with a 5-1 record against opponents who give up that many walks or more.
It looks like the Dodgers have a slight leg up on the Padres, as the Dodgers have won their last two games while the Padres have lost their last four.
When they outhit their opponents, the Dodgers are 10-2. The Padres have an 8-1 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking eighth, Los Angeles sits in the top 10 of the league in runs, scoring 83 this season. San Diego ranks in the top five at second with 93.
Ranking 19th, San Diego is in the bottom half of the league in walks, notching 48 this season. Los Angeles ranks in the top five at third with 68.
When the Padres hit at least one home run, they are 7-5. When the Dodgers hit at least one homer, they have a 9-4 record.
