Colin Rea (2-2, 5.95 ERA) and the San Diego Padres (64-69) meet Mat Latos (4-9, 4.76 ERA) and the Los Angeles Dodgers (75-57) in the first of a four-game division series at Petco Park. The game gets underway at 10:10 p.m. ET on Thursday, Sep. 3 and will air on FSSD and SNLA.
In his last start, Rea pitched 5.0 innings, giving up four runs, striking out four and walking two in a 4-3 loss to the Phillies. Justin Upton (.253, 71 Rs, 24 HRs, 72 RBIs, 18 SBs) continued his strong season yesterday, going 2 for 4 with one run. The Dodgers were unsuccessful to the Cubs 5-2 the last time Latos pitched. He went 4.2 innings, allowing two runs, striking out five and walking three. Justin Turner (.292, 43 Rs, 15 HRs, 52 RBIs, 3 SBs) went 1 for 2 yesterday with one run and one stolen base.
San Diego, a +113 underdog, will look to capitalize at home against Los Angeles. The teams combine to set the Over/Under (O/U) at seven runs. The Padres are 30-41 as the underdog and have an overall money line of -659. They have a 26-24 record SU and are 11-17 as the underdog within their division. The Padres rank fifth in the majors in extra base hits with 361. Transitioning to the pitching staff, they have been extremely effective at striking opposing batters out at Petco Park, leading the NL with 9.1 strikeouts per home game.
On the other side, the Dodgers have a record of 66-50 when they are favored and are -948 overall with the money line. They have played at the top of their game when rated as favorite recently. They managed a 7-1 record when playing as the favorite and an SU record of 8-2. The Dodgers average 3.4 walks per game, making them one of the most disciplined teams in the NL. Shifting to the pitching staff, they have the third-lowest ERA in the NL at 3.38. They have a WHIP of 1.19 on the year, good for third in the league. The Los Angeles pitching staff has been an intimidating group this year, averaging 8.7 strikeouts per game.
The Dodgers have gotten the better of the Padres in head-to-head matchups this season, going 8-4. This game will feature Latos (RHP) on the mound against the Padres, who have a 49-55 record when they take on a right-handed starter. The right-handed Rea will take the mound against the Dodgers, who have a 61-43 record against righty starters this season.
Predictions: SU Winner – LAD, O/U – Over
Notes
The total has gone OVER in 14 of San Diego’s last 20 games.
San Diego is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Diego’s last 6 games at home.
San Diego is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games at home.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Diego’s last 7 games when playing LA Dodgers.
San Diego is 3-7 SU in their last 10 games when playing LA Dodgers.
The total has gone UNDER in 16 of San Diego’s last 20 games when playing at home against LA Dodgers.
San Diego is 2-5 SU in their last 7 games when playing at home against LA Dodgers.
In their last game, the Dodgers won by a margin of one run. The Padres are 18-18 in one-run games. The Dodgers have a 20-21 record in close games.
When leading after 7 innings, Los Angeles is 24-21, while San Diego is 34-31.
The Dodgers are coming into this game after allowing one walk during their last outing. The Padres have a 12-27 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
When they are outhit, the Padres are 9-49. The Dodgers have a 14-41 record when opponents outhit them.
San Diego ranks in the bottom half of the league at 19th when it comes to home runs, hitting 120 this season. Los Angeles ranks in the top 10 at sixth with 157.
San Diego and Los Angeles both rank in the top half of the league in hits. San Diego sits at 13th with 8.33 hits per game and Los Angeles ranks 14th with 8.32.
Ranking 27th, San Diego is near the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.687). Los Angeles ranks in the top five at fifth with an OPS of .745.
The Dodgers are 29-40 when they allow at least one home run. The Padres perform similarly when they allow one or more homers with a 34-50 record.
