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San Diego Padres vs Los Angeles Dodgers Preview and Pick

Andrew Cashner (5-13, 4.15 ERA) and the San Diego Padres (65-71) go up against Brett Anderson (8-8, 3.43 ERA) and the Los Angeles Dodgers (77-58) in the last of a four-game division series at Petco Park. The Dodgers won the last game 2-0 and Los Angeles leads the series 2-1. The game starts at 4:10 p.m. ET on Sunday, Sep. 6 and will air on FSSD and SNLA.

In his most recent outing, Cashner pitched 5.0 innings, giving up four runs and striking out four in an 8-6 loss to the Rangers. Matt Kemp (.268, 67 Rs, 18 HRs, 89 RBIs, 11 SBs) continued his strong season yesterday, going 2 for 4. The Dodgers were unsuccessful the last time Anderson pitched. He went 5.0 innings, allowing three runs, striking out one and walking one in a 5-4 loss to the Giants. Andre Ethier (.299, 48 Rs, 13 HRs, 42 RBIs, 2 SBs) has been hitting the ball well for the Dodgers, going 3 for 4 yesterday with two runs.

San Diego, a +111 underdog, will look to capitalize at home against Los Angeles. The teams combine to set the Over/Under (O/U) at seven runs. When playing as the underdog, the Padres have a 31-43 record and overall money line at -715. They have an SU record of 27-25 against teams in their division and a 12-18 record when they were the underdog in those games. The Padres are a dangerous hitting team with 372 extra base hits, one of the highest totals in the MLB. Turning to the pitching staff, an area where the Padres are particularly strong at home is striking batters out, where they average an NL-best 9.1 K’s per home game.

On the other side, the Dodgers have a record of 68-51 when they are favored and are -902 overall with the money line. They have played at the top of their game when rated as favorite recently. They managed a 7-1 record when playing as the favorite and an SU record of 8-2. Los Angeles has an eye for the strike zone, ranking 3.4 in the NL with second walks per game. The Dodgers are a problem for opposing batters, sporting a 3.44 ERA this season. They have a WHIP of 1.19 on the year, good for third in the league. They also have some of the most overpowering arms in baseball with an NL-high 8.7 strikeouts per game.

The Dodgers have gotten the better of the Padres in head-to-head matchups this season, going 10-5. The Padres will take on a left-hander (Anderson) in this game and have a 15-14 record against left-handed starting pitchers this season. Taking the hill against the Dodgers will be the right-hander Cashner. They sport a 62-44 record against righties.

Predictions: SU Winner – LAD, O/U – Over

Notes

Los Angeles won its last game in a shutout, its 19th of the season. San Diego has been shut out 17 times this season.

Having scored zero runs in their last game, the Padres are going to have to up their game if they want to win this matchup. The Dodgers have a 19-0 record in games where opponents scored that many runs.

It looks like the Dodgers have a slight leg up on the Padres, as the Dodgers have won their last two games while the Padres have lost their last two.

When they outhit their opponents, the Padres are 49-14. The Dodgers have a 57-11 record when outhitting opponents.

Both falling in the bottom half of the league based on total runs this season, San Diego ranks 17th with 559 runs and Los Angeles is 20th with 553.

Ranking 22nd, San Diego is near the bottom of the league in walks, notching 345 this season. Los Angeles ranks in the top five at second with 462.

The Padres are 45-27 when they hit at least one home run. The Dodgers perform similarly when they hit one or more homers with a 58-34 record.

Written by GMS Previews

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