The San Diego Padres are paying a visit to Miller Park to square off against the Milwaukee Brewers. The opening pitch is scheduled for 8:10 p.m. ET and Fox Sports Net Wisconsin will televise this NL matchup.
San Diego Padres at Milwaukee Brewers Odds
Milwaukee (-190) is hosting this one as the favorite over San Diego (+180) and oddsmakers have the Over/Under for this night game at 9 runs. The odds for wagering on the game’s total sit at +100 for the over and -120 for the under. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the current runline odds standing at Padres +1.5 runs (-125) and Brewers -1.5 runs (+105).
The Padres have gone 44-70 SU this year and are 53-61 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 14.2 units for gamblers taking the moneyline and 27.1 units ATS. The Brewers, on the other hand, are 65-50 SU and 60-55 ATS. They’ve gained 13.6 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 1.7 units ATS.
Milwaukee games have had an over/under record of 52-59-4 in 2018. San Diego has an over/under record of 53-56-5.
Robbie Erlin will get the start for the visiting Padres. The left-handed Erlin (2-3, 3.34 ERA) has recorded 54 punchouts in 64.2 innings so far. He’s 0-0 with a 4.91 ERA against Milwaukee this year.
The Brewers are going with righty Jhoulys Chacin (10-4, 3.89 ERA), who’s got 106 punchouts and 52 walks to his name, as well as a 1.22 WHIP. Chacin is 0-0 with a 10.80 ERA in one start against San Diego this year.
Milwaukee’s pitching staff has yielded 4.0 runs per game overall this year as a unit. Its starting pitching staff has an ERA of 3.88, a WHIP of 1.22 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.8. The bullpen has a 3.60 ERA, 1.30 WHIP and 10.2 K/9.
Milwaukee’s hitters are putting up 4.4 runs per contest, including 4.7 per game over its last 10 games and 5.2 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .240/.314/.469 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that span.
The Brewers’ offense has been led by outfielders Christian Yelich and Lorenzo Cain. Yelich is hitting .326/.387/.542 with 17 home runs, 59 RBIs, 78 runs and 14 stolen bases, and Cain’s line is .293/.389/.416 with eight homers, 30 RBIs, 55 runs and 19 steals.
For the visitors, San Diego’s pitchers have allowed 4.8 runs per game and its starters own a 5.08 ERA, 1.48 WHIP and 7.55 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 3.53, along with a K-per-9 of 9.63.
Padres hitters have slashed .233/.298/.369 on their way to 3.8 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.3 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 5.2 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).
First baseman Eric Hosmer and shortstop Freddy Galvis have led San Diego’s hitters. Hosmer is hitting .254/.322/.389 with 10 home runs, 46 RBIs and 49 runs scored. Galvis (.237/.294/.346) is up to six homers, 42 RBIs and 37 runs scored.
The Padres have lost 5.1 units and are 40-38 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over’s hit in 34 of those games, compared to 41 that’ve hit the under against lefties.
San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Brewers, ATS Winner – Padres, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Trends
The over has hit in just two of San Diego’s last seven games.
San Diego has posted 21.7 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 24.4 over its last five.
The Padres have hit 11 home runs in their last 10 games, including six over their last five.
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