The San Diego Padres are set to take on the Philadelphia Phillies at Citizens Bank Park. This NL matchup will begin at 7:05 p.m. ET and Fox Sports San Diego will televise the game.
San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies Odds
Oddsmakers have listed San Diego (+165) as the underdog to Philadelphia (-175). Bettors can gamble on the game’s total with odds posted at -120 for over 8.5 runs and even money (+100) for under 8.5. The game’s most recent runline odds sit at -135 for picking the Padres +1.5 runs and +115 for the Phillies -1.5 runs.
The Phillies are 54-42 straight up (SU) and 42-53 against the spread (ATS). The team’s gained 10.9 units for bettors taking the moneyline while gaining 19.1 units (ATS). Philadelphia has a 3-5 ATS mark over its last seven games and the under has hit in five of those seven. The Padres are 40-60 SU and have gone 46-53 ATS. Overall, the team’s lost 9.2 units for moneyline bettors and 23.6 units ATS. San Diego is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven.
Phillies games have a 40-50-5 over/under record thus far in 2018. San Diego has also been a decent under bet with a total record of 45-51-3.
Luis Perdomo will get the nod for San Diego. The right-handed Perdomo is 1-4 with a 7.55 ERA and 26 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Phillies this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.
The Phillies are going with righty Vince Velasquez (5-8, 4.39 ERA), who has 110 strikeouts and 35 walks to his credit, as well as a 1.24 WHIP. Velasquez did not record a start against the Padres in 2017.
San Diego’s pitchers have allowed 4.8 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.88 ERA, 1.46 WHIP and 7.59 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.70, along with a K/9 of 9.54.
Padres hitters have slashed .233/.300/.367 on their way to 3.7 runs scored per game this season, including 3.8 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.2 per game over the team’s last five outings (0-5 SU).
San Diego’s offensive production has been fueled by first baseman Eric Hosmer and left fielder Jose Pirela. Hosmer is slashing .245/.313/.392 with 10 home runs, 41 RBIs and 41 runs scored, while Pirela has a .260 average with three homers, 27 RBIs and 45 runs scored.
In the home-team dugout, Philadelphia’s pitchers have given up 4.1 runs per game overall in 2018. The team’s starting pitching staff has an ERA of 3.77, a WHIP of 1.21 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.9. The bullpen has a 4.01 ERA, 1.30 WHIP and 9.4 K/9.
The Philadelphia hitters have put up 4.4 runs per contest, including 3.7 per game over its last 10 games and 4.6 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .267/.326/.366 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that span.
Outfielder Odubel Herrera and second baseman Cesar Hernandez have led the way for the Phillies’ batters this year. Herrera is hitting .278/.328/.460 with 16 home runs, 54 RBIs and 48 runs scored, while Hernandez’s line is .273/.381/.386 with eight homers, 33 RBIs, 65 runs and 14 stolen bases.
The Padres have lost 0.1 units and are 36-32 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 28 of those games, compared to 37 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Phillies have netted 8.8 units and are 32-41 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 30 of those games, as opposed to 39 that’ve gone under.
San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies Free Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Phillies, ATS Winner – Padres, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Trends
The under has cashed in three of San Diego’s last seven games.
The Padres have lost seven of their last eight games SU.
Philadelphia has posted 19.9 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 23.0 over its last five.
The Padres have hit 14 home runs in their last 10 games. The Phillies have hit seven over their last 10.
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