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San Diego Padres vs Philadelphia Phillies Preview and Pick

Andrew Cashner (4-11, 4.08 ERA) and Jerome Williams (3-8, 6.09 ERA) start in the last of a three-game series between the San Diego Padres (52-59) and the Philadelphia Phillies (44-67) at Petco Park. The Padres lost the last game 4-2, continuing a five-game losing streak. Action begins at 1:10 p.m. ET on Sunday, Aug. 9 and can be seen on CSPh and FSSD.

Cashner pitched 6.0 innings in his most recent start, surrendering two runs, striking out five and walking four in a 4-1 defeat to the Brewers. Justin Upton (.251, 56 Rs, 18 HRs, 59 RBIs, 18 SBs) went 1 for 3 yesterday with one run. Williams went 5.0 innings, surrendering one run, striking out six and walking three in a 6-2 defeat to the Dodgers in his last outing.

This one isn’t expected to be close when San Diego, a big -185 favorite, takes on Philadelphia. The Over/Under (O/U) is sitting at seven runs for this matchup. The Padres have an overall money line of -613 and a record as the favorite of 26-21. San Diego has gone winless in its last 10 as the favorite. The Padres have seen an uptick in scoring as of late, averaging 5.3 runs during the last 10 games compared to their season average of 3.9 runs per game. The Padres are one of the best in the MLB in terms of extra base hits with 287.

In the other locker room, Philadelphia is coming in with an overall money line of -707 and a disappointing record of 38-60 as the underdog. Offensively, the Phillies have really picked up the pace in the last 10 games. They have exceeded their season average of 3.7 runs per game by averaging 5.3 during that stretch.

The Phillies have the edge in the season series, 2-0. The Padres have a 40-48 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they’ll be facing when Williams takes the mound. Cashner (RHP) will be on the hill against the Phillies, who have a 33-52 record against right-handed starting pitchers.

Predictions: SU Winner – SD, O/U – Over

Notes

The Padres are coming into this game after allowing two walks during their last outing. The Phillies have a 21-42 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.

It looks like the Phillies have a slight leg up on the Padres, as the Phillies have won their last two games while the Padres have lost their last five.

When they outhit their opponents, the Phillies are 25-9. The Padres have a 38-12 record when outhitting opponents.

Both falling near the bottom of the league based on total runs this season, San Diego ranks 21st with 433 runs and Philadelphia is 26th with 413.

San Diego and Philadelphia both rank near the bottom of the league in walks. San Diego sits at 21st with 283 this season and Philadelphia ranks 28th with 252.

When the Padres hit at least one home run, they are 35-21. When the Phillies hit at least one homer, they have a 27-28 record.

Written by GMS Previews

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