at Dreamstyle Arena. The game starts at 7 p.m. ET on Saturday, January 20, 2018, and will air on CBS Sports Network.
San Diego State Aztecs vs. New Mexico Lobos ATS Prediction
In the Aztecs’ last contest, they were defeated by the Fresno State Bulldogs, 77-73. Fresno State’s 12.1 turnover percentage was their largest advantage over San Diego State, who had a rate of 13.7. The Bulldogs’ mark was better than their season average of 15.5. Jalen McDaniels was San Diego State’s high scorer with 14 points on 4-for-7 shooting.
The Lobos were victorious over the UNLV Runnin’ Rebels in their last game, 85-81. New Mexico’s 13.0 turnover percentage was their largest advantage over UNLV, who had a rate of 13.8. The Lobos’ mark was better than their season average of 15.3. With 14 points and nine rebounds, Joe Furstinger played well for New Mexico.
Second-chance points could be few and far between for New Mexico in this contest. The Lobos rank 225th in offensive rebounding percentage (28.1 percent), while San Diego State ranks 34th in defensive rebounding percentage (75.4 percent).
Both teams have had a player take their game to the next level over their last five games. McDaniels (13.4 points, 8.0 rebounds and 1.8 steals) has been stellar for the Aztecs while Anthony Mathis (15.2 points) has contributed greatly to the Lobos.
After the Lobos won both meetings against the Aztecs last season, this will be the first matchup of the year between these two teams. In the last contest, New Mexico won 64-59. The Lobos had a better free throw rate (0.434 vs. 0.389) and had a better effective field goal percentage (0.387 vs. 0.352).
San Diego State Aztecs at New Mexico Lobos Odds Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – San Diego State, ATS Winner – San Diego State, O/U – Over
Notes
Betting Notes:
New Mexico averages 30.6 three pointers per game, which ranks sixth in the nation. San Diego State ranks 190th in three pointers allowed per game (23.4).
The Aztecs rank 37th in rebounds per game (39.1) while the Lobos rank 217th in rebounds allowed per game (37.6).
New Mexico ranks 47th in steals per game (7.5) while San Diego State ranks 121st in steals allowed per game (6.6).
The Lobos rank 50th in assists per game (15.9) while the Aztecs rank 91st (14.6).
Bettings Trends:
The Aztecs’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 11.6, up from 11.4 for the season.
During their last five games, the Lobos have scored an average of 76.4 points per game (3.0 below their season average) and allowed an average of 74.6 points per game (0.7 below their season average).
