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San Diego State Aztecs vs. Air Force Falcons Odds Preview 01/12/19

Brian Losness-USA TODAY Sports

It will be a battle between MWC opponents when the Air Force Falcons (5-10, 0-3 MWC) welcome the San Diego State Aztecs (9-6, 1-1 MWC) to Clune Arena. The game will air on ESPN 3 at 4 p.m. ET on Saturday, January 12, 2019.

San Diego State Aztecs vs. Air Force Falcons Betting Prediction

In the Aztecs’ last matchup, they thoroughly outplayed the Wyoming Cowboys, 84-54. The Aztecs held the Cowboys to an offensive rebounding percentage of 13.2 (below their season average of 19.0) and had an effective field goal percentage of 0.614 (above their season average of 0.525). San Diego State received a boost from Jalen McDaniels, who was the game’s high scorer with 22 points on 8-for-14 shooting.

The Falcons got blown out by the Colorado State Rams in their last contest, 87-64. Colorado State’s 9.5 turnover percentage was their biggest strength over Air Force, who had a mark of 22.4. The Rams’ mark was better than their season average of 14.8, while the Falcons’ was above the 12.4 mark opponents have averaged against Colorado State this season. With 20 points on 8-for-12 shooting, Lavelle Scottie was Air Force’s leading scorer.

After the Aztecs won both matchups against the Falcons last season, this will be the first matchup of the year between these two teams. In the last matchup, San Diego State won 67-56. The Aztecs had a much better free throw rate (0.167 vs. 0.019) and had a much better turnover percentage (14.2 vs. 21.8).

The prolific offense of San Diego State will clash against the mid-tier defense of Air Force. The Aztecs rank 73rd in offensive efficiency, while the Falcons are 284th in defensive efficiency. The Aztecs figure to have the advantage on that end of the court.

San Diego State vs. Air Force Betting Pick

Pick: SU Winner – San Diego State, ATS Winner – San Diego State, O/U – Over

Notes

Betting Notes:

San Diego State averages 15.8 assists per game, which ranks 49th in the NCAA. Air Force ranks 171st in assists allowed per game (14.4).

The Aztecs rank 149th in rebounds per game (35.7) while the Falcons rank 233rd (32.2).

San Diego State ranks 141st in three pointers attempted per game (22.3) while Air Force ranks 198th in three pointers allowed per game (24.6).

The Aztecs rank 139th in steals per game (5.7) while the Falcons rank 173rd in steals allowed per game (8.5).

San Diego State is 32nd in the country with 2.5 blocks allowed per game while Air Force is 41st with 2.7 blocks allowed per game.

Bettings Trends:

The Aztecs have been outscored by an average of 0.2 points in their last five games. For the season, San Diego State has defeated opponents by an average of 6.1 points.

During their last five games, the Falcons have scored an average of 61.2 points per game (5.4 below their season average) and allowed an average of 72.4 points per game (0.6 above their season average).

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Written by GMS Previews

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